The Detroit Tigers (+180) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-225) on Monday, August 15, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Cleveland for Game 1 of their doubleheader.
The Guardians are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Tigers vs Guardians Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 43-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 61-53 ATS.
Tigers vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Monday‘s matchup with 55.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+9.55 Units / 75% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 34 games (+12.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+11.65 Units / 38% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 34 games (+11.30 Units / 33% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 113 games (+22.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games (+7.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 away games (+2.65 Units / 28% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Guardians: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 95 games (+16.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 74 games (+15.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 95 games (+8.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 37 games (+6.75 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 51-65 against the Run Line (-23.35 Units / -16.05% ROI).
- 43-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.45 Units / -13.41% ROI
- 40-65 when betting on the total runs Over for -30.8 Units / -24.13% ROI
- 65-40 when betting on the total runs Under for +21.55 Units / 16.81% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 61-53 against the Run Line (+2.9 Units / 2% ROI).
- 61-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.4 Units / 8.26% ROI
- 53-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.4 Units / -4.29% ROI
- 53-53 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -4.07% ROI
Andrew Hutchison: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
The average home run distance against Drew Hutchison this season is 379.2 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 55 total IP; League Avg: 398.2
Drew Hutchison has walked 7 of 37 batters (19%) in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 14% (38 SO in 263 PAs) this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 4% (2/53) against Drew Hutchison on pitches in the strike zone this month (2 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 5 total IP; League Avg: 17% — first Percentile.
Aaron Civale: Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
8 of Aaron Civale’s 30 breaking pitch strikeouts (27%) have been backdoor this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 33% (39/120) against Aaron Civale on inside fastballs since the start of 2020 — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 167 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 32% (27/84) against Aaron Civale on inside fastballs since the start of last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (50/267) against Aaron Civale when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — 12th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 137 total IP; League Avg: 24% — eighth Percentile.