Tigers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 22
Tigers vs Cubs Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug. 22

The Detroit Tigers (+165) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-200) on Thursday, August 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.

This season, the Tigers are 62-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 60-67 ATS.

Tigers vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Cubs starting pitcher: Justin Steele 3-5, 3.10 ERA

Tigers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 12 games (+29.40 Units / 245% ROI)
  • Colt Keith has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.55 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+11.20 Units / 80% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.80 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.70 Units / 44% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 45 games (+30.45 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 37 games (+23.95 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 38 of his last 47 games (+23.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 38 games (+18.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+17.30 Units / 36% ROI)

  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 40 games (+18.05 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 23 away games (+12.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 23 away games (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 away games (+10.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 42 games (+10.40 Units / 23% ROI)

  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 48 games at home (+12.60 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 115 games (+12.30 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 48 games at home (+8.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 40 games (+6.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+5.85 Units / 29% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 67-60 against the Run Line (+0.9 Units / 0.52% ROI).

  • 62-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.75 Units / -1.92% ROI
  • 64-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.4 Units / 1.76% ROI
  • 56-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.45 Units / -10.57% ROI

Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 60-67 against the Run Line (-19.7 Units / -11.3% ROI).

  • 62-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.7 Units / -3.05% ROI
  • 55-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.95 Units / -14.25% ROI
  • 68-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.6 Units / 5.45% ROI

Cubs vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Andy Ibanez (DET) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Dillon Dingler (DET) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +600 0.5 -900
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +725 0.5 -1200

Cubs vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Andy Ibanez (DET) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 -200 0.5 +155
Colt Keith (DET) 0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Cubs vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson (DET) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
Andy Ibanez (DET) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Dillon Dingler (DET) 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
Matt Vierling (DET) 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Javier Baez (DET) 0.5 +220 0.5 -300

Cubs vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Justin Steele (CHC) 5.5 -160 5.5 +120

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 61% (22/36) against Keider Montero this month (4 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.

Keider Montero has a strikeout rate of just 5% (1 SO in 19 PAs) with runners in scoring position this month (4 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Keider Montero has walked 1 of 36 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 9th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 90th Percentile.

Keider Montero has a strikeout rate of just 17% (6 SO in 36 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (4 games) — tied for 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 18th Percentile.

Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of just .285 (117 Total Bases / 411 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 45% of the time (1,365/3,050) in non-two strike counts since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (547/1,195) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 115 total IP; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Steele has allowed a slugging percentage of just .122 (12 Total Bases / 98 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .313 — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs

  
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