The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-160) on Wednesday, August 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Tigers are 61-65 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 60-66 ATS.
Tigers vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 8-7, 3.65 ERA
Tigers vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 54.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games (+23.40 Units / 213% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 72% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.70 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 44 games (+31.45 Units / 71% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 38 of his last 46 games (+25.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 36 games (+24.95 Units / 69% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+19.55 Units / 39% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+16.30 Units / 35% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 39 games (+17.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 22 away games (+11.70 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 22 away games (+10.80 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 16 of their last 22 away games (+9.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games (+9.35 Units / 22% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 114 games (+13.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 30 of their last 47 games at home (+11.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 23 of their last 39 games (+7.30 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 47 games at home (+7.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+7.15 Units / 37% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 66-60 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.06% ROI).
- 61-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.8 Units / -2.67% ROI
- 63-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.4 Units / 1.04% ROI
- 56-63 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.35 Units / -9.85% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 60-66 against the Run Line (-18.7 Units / -10.79% ROI).
- 62-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -3.45 Units / -2.25% ROI
- 54-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.95 Units / -15.08% ROI
- 68-54 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.7 Units / 6.28% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 19% (54/278) against Beau Brieske since last season — 6th lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 26% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 28% (30/107) against Beau Brieske on low breaking pitches this season — lowest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Beau Brieske has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (248/387) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd highest among AL Relievers; League Avg: 47% — 97th Percentile.
50% of Beau Brieske’s fastball strikeouts are located down this season — 11th highest among among 144 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 25% — 93rd Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 35 of 746 batters (5%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 86th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed a slugging percentage of .581 (36 Total Bases / 62 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: .368 — second Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has allowed three-ball counts to 9% of batters they faced (21/246 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 6 of 246 right-handed batters (2%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 50 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.