The Detroit Tigers (+145) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-175) on Tuesday, April 25, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Milwaukee.
The Brewers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Tigers vs Brewers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 8-13 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 13-10 ATS.
Tigers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Brewers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+9.70 Units / 108% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.95 Units / 49% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.10 Units / 72% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+7.75 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Rowdy Tellez has hit the RBIs Over in 6 of his last 8 games at home (+8.45 Units / 106% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 51% ROI)
- Christian Yelich has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+7.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+6.30 Units / 48% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.45 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 13 away games (+7.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in their last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+4.10 Units / 41% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 22 games (+8.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.55 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+5.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+4.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.25 Units / 18% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 12-9 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 4.14% ROI).
- 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.5 Units / -2.38% ROI
- 9-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -17.49% ROI
- 12-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 9.52% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Brewers have gone 13-10 against the Run Line (+3.35 Units / 11.75% ROI).
- 15-8 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.1 Units / 25.31% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -10.47% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.05 Units / -0.2% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Turnbull has thrown his changeup for a strike just 33% (13/40) of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 60% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .389 (14-for-36) against Spencer Turnbull on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .252 — second Percentile.
Spencer Turnbull has spotted his fastball inside for a strike 81% (55/68) of the time this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Spencer Turnbull has allowed an OBP of .515 (33 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .339 — third Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (22/66) against Eric Lauer this season — tied for 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 12% (3/26) against Eric Lauer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — second Percentile.
Eric Lauer has thrown inside pitches 46% of the time (42/91) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 96th Percentile.