Tigers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 5
Tigers vs Braves Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Mar. 5

The Detroit Tigers (+150) visit CoolToday Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-190) on Tuesday, March 5, 2024. First pitch is for this Spring Training game is scheduled for 1:05pm EST in North Port, FL.

This season, the Tigers are 4-3 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 3-3 ATS.

Tigers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 58.8% confidence, based on game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Andy Ibanez has hit the RBIs Over in his last 3 games (+5.90 Units / 197% ROI)
  • Ryan Kreidler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.10 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Andre Lipcius has hit the Singles Over in 3 of his last 5 away games (+2.15 Units / 43% ROI)
  • Carson Kelly has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Sean Murphy has hit the RBIs Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Ozzie Albies has hit the Hits Over in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Vaughn Grissom has hit the RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games (+1.00 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Chadwick Tromp has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 1 of his last 2 games at home (+0.30 Units / 15% ROI)

  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 48 away games (+18.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 78 away games (+16.75 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 47 of their last 78 away games (+16.52 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 48 away games (+12.79 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)

  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 91 of their last 157 games (+21.60 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 55 games at home (+13.64 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 33 of their last 55 games at home (+9.25 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+4.61 Units / 5% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Tigers are 4-4 against the Run Line (+0.33 Units / 3.65% ROI).

  • 4-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 11.59% ROI
  • 3-4 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.45 Units / -16.29% ROI
  • 4-3 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.72 Units / 8.26% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this Spring Training, the Braves are 3-3 against the Run Line (-0.72 Units / -8.99% ROI).

  • 3-2 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.75 Units / 22.58% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.27 Units / -4.14% ROI
  • 3-3 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.47 Units / -6.96% ROI

Opponents had a chase percentage of just 34% (111/325) against Reese Olson with two-strikes in the 2023 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 39% — fourth Percentile.

Reese Olson allowed a BABIP of .244 against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .297 — 97th Percentile.

Opposing hitters had a chase rate of 33% (51/154) against Reese Olson when he was behind in the count in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 96th Percentile.

87% of Reese Olson’s called strikeouts were low against right-handed batters in the 2023 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters had a miss rate of 42% (332/783) against Spencer Strider in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents had a miss rate of 39% (635/1,644) against Spencer Strider in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider had a strikeout rate of 37% (281/763) in the 2023 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Strider struck out 67 batters on three pitches in the 2023 season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
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