The Detroit Tigers (+140) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-165) on Tuesday, June 18, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.

This season, the Tigers are 34-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 33-37 ATS.

Tigers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 1-4, 4.41 ERA
• Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 0-2, 6.19 ERA

Tigers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Tigers vs Braves and all games with BetMGM

$1500 First Bet Offer

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 19 games (+21.90 Units / 115% ROI)
• Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+13.05 Units / 63% ROI)
• Zach McKinstry has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+10.10 Units / 65% ROI)
• Mark Canha has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 43% ROI)
• Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.95 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 24 games (+16.20 Units / 37% ROI)
• Adam Duvall has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+15.75 Units / 30% ROI)
• Adam Duvall has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+15.40 Units / 34% ROI)
• Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 34 of his last 45 games (+14.50 Units / 18% ROI)
• Matt Olson has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+13.80 Units / 35% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 55 games (+13.00 Units / 21% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.80 Units / 58% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 11 of their last 14 away games (+8.00 Units / 48% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games (+2.30 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 9 games (+1.25 Units / 13% ROI)

Braves Best Bets Today:

• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 56 games (+20.30 Units / 33% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 25 games (+9.59 Units / 30% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
• The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.45 Units / 26% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 33-39 against the Run Line (-9.85 Units / -10.14% ROI).

• 34-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -7.89% ROI
• 39-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.1 Units / 11.97% ROI
• 27-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.9 Units / -20.95% ROI

Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Braves are 33-37 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -5.92% ROI).

• 39-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.35 Units / -8.43% ROI
• 26-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -18.45 Units / -24.15% ROI
• 41-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.45 Units / 16.02% ROI

Braves vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Braves vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .381 (8-for-21) against Casey Mize with two-strikes over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .165 — second Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 11% (11/99) against Casey Mize this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Casey Mize has allowed an OBP of .429 (35 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (3 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .239 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 14% (27/196) against Casey Mize this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a chase percentage of 46% (38/83) against Spencer Schwellenbach over the last 14 days — highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 73% (127/174) — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 46% (38/83) against Spencer Schwellenbach this month (2 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of 46% (38/83) against Spencer Schwellenbach — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves

  
Read Full Article