Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul. 30

The Detroit Tigers (+230) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-300) on Saturday, July 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).

The Tigers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 41-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 44-56 ATS.

Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Saturday‘s matchup with 50.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Akil Baddoo has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 away games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 25 away games (+9.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 away games (+8.95 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.25 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 30 games (+10.05 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Bradley Zimmer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 56 games (+9.60 Units / 16% ROI)

Blue Jays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Bo Bichette 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Cavan Biggio 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
Matt Chapman 0.5 +360 0.5 -650

Blue Jays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Bo Bichette 1.5 +140 1.5 -200
Cavan Biggio 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Matt Chapman 0.5 -160 0.5 +110

Blue Jays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alejandro Kirk 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Bo Bichette 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Cavan Biggio 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Lourdes Gurriel 0.5 +135 0.5 -190
Matt Chapman 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

Blue Jays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ross Stripling 3.5 -165 3.5 +115
Drew Hutchison 2.5 -165 2.5 +120

  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 98 games (+16.95 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 29 of their last 47 games (+10.40 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 69 games (+6.10 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 26 away games (+2.90 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+2.05 Units / 31% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 58 games (+24.15 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 38 of their last 59 games (+15.50 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.35 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+1.90 Units / 8% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 47-54 against the Run Line (-14.8 Units / -11.56% ROI).

  • 41-60 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -6.64% ROI
  • 38-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -23.8 Units / -21.45% ROI
  • 57-38 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.8 Units / 14.13% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 44-56 against the Run Line (-17.3 Units / -14.12% ROI).

  • 55-45 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.45 Units / -10.26% ROI
  • 52-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.15 Units / 0.14% ROI
  • 47-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.25 Units / -10.11% ROI

Left-handed batters are hitting .300 (12-for-40) against Drew Hutchison this month (4 games) — tied for 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .218 — 11th Percentile.

Drew Hutchison has allowed an OPS of just .440 (19 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this month (4 games) — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.019 — 98th Percentile.

Drew Hutchison has allowed a slugging percentage of just .176 (3 Total Bases / 17 ABs) when behind in the count this month (4 games) — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .571 — 100th Percentile.

Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 14% (12 SO in 85 PAs) this month (4 games) — 12th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 11th Percentile.

Thomas Stripling: Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents had a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 7% (1/15) against Ross Stripling — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.

Ross Stripling has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH on inside pitches since the start of last season (141 balls in play) — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: 85.4

Opponents are hitting just .146 (25-for-171) against Ross Stripling’s changeup since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total IP; League Avg: .238 — 98th Percentile.

The average home run distance against Ross Stripling this season is 377.7 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 398.0

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

  
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