Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 11
Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr. 11

The Detroit Tigers (+225) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-275) on Tuesday, April 11, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto.

The Blue Jays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+105).

The Tigers vs Blue Jays Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

This season, the Tigers are 2-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 5-5 ATS.

Tigers vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Blue Jays will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Blue Jays and up-to-date player injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Austin Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 79% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Eric Haase has hit the RBIs Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 games (+2.30 Units / 77% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Raimel Tapia has hit the Runs Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Bo Bichette has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 2 of his last 3 games at home (+1.00 Units / 32% ROI)

  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.00 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+3.40 Units / 113% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.70 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.80 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 2 of their last 3 away games (+1.70 Units / 57% ROI)

  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.35 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+3.30 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.95 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.85 Units / 43% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 2-7 against the Run Line (-6.8 Units / -61.82% ROI).

  • 2-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.6 Units / -28.89% ROI
  • 6-3 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 28.14% ROI
  • 3-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.55 Units / -35.86% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Blue Jays have gone 5-5 against the Run Line (-1.6 Units / -11.72% ROI).

  • 6-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.55 Units / 11.4% ROI
  • 6-4 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.6 Units / 14.75% ROI
  • 4-6 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -25.45% ROI

Matt Manning has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 4 double plays in 127 opportunities (3%) since the 2021 season — tied for lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 11% — first Percentile.

Matt Manning has struck out just 15% (46/314) of left-handed batters he faced since the 2021 season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.

Matt Manning has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 1 double play in 54 opportunities (2%) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 0 Percentile.

Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 21% (121/574) against Matt Manning since the 2021 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 133 total IP; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

  
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