The Detroit Tigers (+115) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-135) on Sunday, June 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Tigers are 34-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 30-41 ATS.
Tigers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Kenta Maeda 2-2, 5.98 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games (+23.90 Units / 141% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 48 games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+8.90 Units / 61% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.95 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 games (+16.50 Units / 103% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 16 games (+15.75 Units / 49% ROI)
- Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 14 games (+14.25 Units / 83% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 48 games (+13.25 Units / 22% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+13.20 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games (+15.15 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 away games (+6.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+3.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+2.35 Units / 38% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 54 games (+14.20 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 71 games (+7.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.40 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 22 games at home (+3.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 32 games (+1.75 Units / 4% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 32-38 against the Run Line (-9.35 Units / -9.89% ROI).
- 34-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.5 Units / -5.6% ROI
- 39-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.25 Units / 15.22% ROI
- 25-39 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.9 Units / -24.3% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 30-41 against the Run Line (-11.05 Units / -13% ROI).
- 32-39 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.3 Units / -19.23% ROI
- 26-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.7 Units / -25.4% ROI
- 42-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.35 Units / 16.95% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kenta Maeda has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 48% (67/139) of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 64% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 23% (36/153) against Kenta Maeda’s curve and slider since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
19 of Kenta Maeda’s 60 breaking pitch strikeouts (32%) have been backdoor since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 92 total IP; League Avg: 13% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 5% (1/21) against Kenta Maeda on low breaking pitches this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 27 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.