The Detroit Tigers (+115) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-135) on Saturday, June 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.

This season, the Tigers are 33-36 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 30-40 ATS.

Tigers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 3-4, 3.27 ERA
• Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 3-2, 3.97 ERA

Tigers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+18.10 Units / 113% ROI)
• Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in his last 9 games (+11.40 Units / 70% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 47 games (+9.35 Units / 19% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 43% ROI)
• Jack Flaherty has hit the Strikeouts Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+8.45 Units / 62% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games (+17.50 Units / 117% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games (+14.75 Units / 50% ROI)
• Alex Bregman has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 13 games (+13.25 Units / 83% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 47 games (+12.25 Units / 21% ROI)
• Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 35 of his last 49 games (+12.20 Units / 15% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 52 games (+14.15 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.80 Units / 67% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.00 Units / 54% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 games (+2.30 Units / 28% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.35 Units / 26% ROI)

Astros Best Bets Today:

• The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 34 of their last 53 games (+15.20 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 70 games (+8.05 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 21 games at home (+4.50 Units / 20% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 49 games (+4.35 Units / 8% ROI)
• The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 18 of their last 31 games (+3.15 Units / 8% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 31-38 against the Run Line (-10.35 Units / -11.19% ROI).

• 33-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.5 Units / -6.93% ROI
• 38-25 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.25 Units / 14.1% ROI
• 25-38 when betting on the total runs Under for -16.9 Units / -23.26% ROI

Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Astros are 30-40 against the Run Line (-10.05 Units / -11.96% ROI).

• 32-38 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.1 Units / -18.26% ROI
• 25-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.7 Units / -27.11% ROI
• 42-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.35 Units / 18.46% ROI

Astros vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Astros vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (184/527) against Jack Flaherty this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has struck out 34% (49/143) of left-handed batters he faced this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Jack Flaherty has walked 2 of 108 batters (2%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.

Jack Flaherty’s K:BB ratio is 9.4 (94/10) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.2 — 97th Percentile.

Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Justin Verlander has thrown elevated pitches 42% of the time (541/1,283) when behind in the count since the 2022 season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed a slugging percentage of just .303 (160 Total Bases / 528 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 92nd Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .539 (755 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 156 total IP; League Avg: .712 — 100th Percentile.

Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .566 (576 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .672 — 96th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros

  
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