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Today’s Best Bets
Here are today’s best NBA bets.
NBA Same Game Parlay Picks
Los Angeles Clippers vs. Golden State Warriors
- Leg 1: Kawhi Leonard Over 6.5 Rebounds (+116)
- Leg 2: Ivica Zubac Over 8.5 Rebounds (-115)
- Leg 3: Kawhi Leonard Over 3.5 Assists (-140)
With this game being played at Golden State, there will be plenty of possessions in this game and thus an over paradise. Sometimes books will over-adjust for changes in the pace of play but I don't see that here with these lines from FanDuel.
Kawhi is quite capable of pulling in seven boards, doing so in the most recent game against Golden State. At plus odds, I am all over that. To go along with an uncorrelated play taking Zubac's over-rebound total simply adds extra value to this SGP. With the big man averaging 10+ boards a game this season, I am not too worried about him getting to nine.
Kawhi's assists simply sweetened the pot for me. The Clippers will have plenty of scoring opportunities and Leonard has plenty of options for facilitating which makes me confident in throwing one unit on this parlay.
- Ryan Coleman
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NBA Game Picks
Indiana Pacers vs. San Antonio Spurs
There’s some fear that this is a trap, but we can’t be scared of monsters under the bed. The Spurs are the worst team in basketball by just about every metric (Adjusted Net Rating, Net Rating, Pts/Poss, etc.), and, prior to their victory over the Jazz, had lost sixteen straight games.
Conversely, the Pacers have played well lately. Indiana has covered in each game since the All-Star break, with their lone loss being an admirable one — a 142-138 OT loss to the Celtics. The projected starting five for the Pacers (Haliburton, Nembhard, Hield, Nesmith, Turner) is more than respectable, boasting a positive Net Rating on the year, and trumping any lineup the Spurs can throw at them.
San Antonio got the better of Indiana earlier this year, but that was a time ago, and the Spurs have firmly entrenched themselves in the Victor Wembanyama sweepstakes since then. Back the Pacers to cover the spread on Thursday night, as they continue to push for the last play-in spot in the Eastern Conference.
Bet: Pacers -4 (-110)
- Tommy Jurgens
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First Basket Scorer
Toronto Raptors vs. Washington Wizards
The Toronto Raptors have only won the tip in 44% of games this season. They’ve also attempted the first shot in only 51% of games this year. On the other hand, the Wizards have earned the tip in 67% of games while taking the first shot in 64% of games.
The Wizards will likely win the tip and take the first shot. Washington has earned the first basket in 59% of games this season.
The go-to player for the Wizards is usually Kristaps Porzingis. Of the 26 first baskets made, Porzingis has 10 first baskets, along with 12 first shots. Back Porzingis to score first tonight.
Bet: Kristaps Porzingis'(+450)'
- Jason Radowitz
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NBA Prop Bets
San Antonio Spurs vs. Indiana Pacers
These are two of the lesser teams in the NBA. The Pacers are 28-35, while the Spurs have a 15-47 record. The good news for bettors is that wins and losses do not matter in player-prop betting.'
The player with the most betting value tonight is Myles Turner. Over the last three games, he has averaged 29.3 points per game. Tonight he plays the worst defense in the NBA. That defense also lacks a frontcourt. This means Turner will have plenty of scoring opportunities tonight.'
- Cameron Lynch
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College Basketball Game Picks
Arizona vs. USC
Arizona is an enigma, ranking as the Pac-12 leader in adjusted offensive efficiency and playing at the league’s fastest tempo, despite two of its best offensive players standing 6-foot-11 and 7 feet tall. When the Wildcats lose, teams force them to work in the half-court, as they have been held to fewer than 80 points in four of their five losses. USC was close to doing that in the first meeting, allowing just 81 points, despite the Wildcats having one of their best 3-point shooting games (12-of-24). The Trojans’ elite rim protection (they rank second in the nation in 2-point percentage allowed) held Arizona to 47% shooting inside the arc, which is no easy feat given it ranks top ten among all D-1 teams in that regard.
Conversely, USC has been held to 68.7 points in its last three games against non-bottom-three Pac-12 teams. Arizona’s mammoth front line should again pose issues for a Trojans offense that gets 26.2% of its offense from the 3-point line (308th in the country).
The Over has cashed in both games USC has played as home underdogs, but we expect it to bring this game to a snail’s pace.