Thunder vs Mavericks Prediction & Same Game Parlay picks: SGA leaves it all out there at +738 odds

The number one seed in the Western Conference are on the ropes. The Oklahoma City Thunder find themselves visiting the Dallas Mavericks 2-1 down in the series. However, things can change quickly in a 7 game series. A win tonight, and they regain home court advantage in what would be ultimately a mini 3-game series. You can check out all of our NBA picks for today's games, bu t for now, let's jump into my Game 4 Thunder vs Mavericks Same Game Parlay picks.

Oklahoma City Thunder ML over Dallas Mavericks (+100)

The Thunder find themselves in a tough position, playing on the road tonight and behind in the series. Another loss here and they would be on the brink of elimination. Luckily for them, Luka Doncic appears to be dealing with a number of leg issues and is questionable to play. If the Mavericks superstar is hobbled or unable to take to the floor, the Thunder would be in prime position to level things up. The team have recently been burned by the performances of P.J. Washington. However, the absence of Doncic could help limit the number of clean looks the forward gets tonight.

The Thunder still have the best defensive rating this postseason of all of the teams that remain in the playoffs. They have been able to hold the Mavericks to 95 and 105 points in 2 of the 3 games and I expect them to have further success tonight. The Mavericks are also making 39% of their 3-point attempts during the series. This is not only above the Mavericks season average but also above the Thunders 3-point percentage allowed per game. As a result, it feels only a matter of time before the hosts cool off from the outside. If it happens tonight, I expect the Thunder to even the series.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to score 40+ points (+600)

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has flirted with some high scoring performances during the series already, surpassing the 30-point mark in each of the last 2 games. With the team desperate for a win and the likes of Josh Giddey really struggling offensively, look for the Canadian to take matters into his own hands. He has been efficient against the Mavericks too, making 47% of his field goal attempts during these 3 games and 50% from beyond the arc. Yet he has not attempted more than 24 shots in a game. Look for that to jump tonight. The Mavericks pair of Kyrie Irving and Luka Doncic are not exactly the strongest perimeter defender and I expect the Thunder to find ways to isolate them here. Look for SGA to lead a strong scoring effort tonight.