The Oklahoma City Thunder hope to stave off elimination as they visit the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on Friday, and we're offering our top Thunder vs. Mavericks player props for Game 6 based on the best NBA odds.
After holding off the Oklahoma City Thunder in a 104-92 road win on Wednesday, the Dallas Mavericks head home to American Airlines Center with a 3-2 series lead ahead of Saturday's Game 6 at 8 p.m. ET (TNT).
With the Thunder on the brink, the Mavericks are 4-point home favorites, bolstered by the stellar play of Luka Doncic, who surged in the 2024 NBA Finals MVP odds after recording a triple-double in Game 5.
Dallas now boasts the third-shortest NBA championship odds and will rely on Doncic to maintain his hot streak to finish off Oklahoma City.
To accompany our Knicks vs. Pacers player props, here are our best Thunder vs. Mavericks player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 6 player props
- Luka Doncic Over 19.5 rebounds + assists (-104 via FanDuel) ???
- Jalen Williams Under 18.5 points (-111 via FanDuel) ???
- Chet Holmgren Over 2.5 blocks (-113 via FanDuel) ????
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Thunder vs. Mavericks prop bet predictions for Saturday
It turns out that even on two bad legs Doncic is one of the best basketball players the NBA has ever seen. A graphic flashed in Game 5 of the myriad injuries Doncic is dealing with, and he still finished with 31 points, 11 assists, and 10 rebounds.
It's been pretty clear that the knee sprain suffered in the opening round has impacted his 3-point shooting in the playoffs, but he continues to be a lethal rebounder and passer. That's why I'm more comfortable backing this prop as opposed to one involving him scoring.
Doncic has topped 19.5 rebounds and assists in three straight games and averaged 19 during the regular season.
This same prop is as short as -117 at our other best sportsbooks. Those odds imply a 53.92% probability the Over hits, according to our odds calculator, but our odds pay out $19.62 on a $10 bet.
Best odds: -104 via FanDuel
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Time is running out on the Thunder, and their fans know better than most that while the future is bright, nothing is guaranteed. The youth and inexperience of Oklahoma City have tripped them up, and players like Jalen Williams and Josh Giddey have struggled under the bright lights.
Williams' shooting woes have hindered the Thunder's offense, and he's averaging 3.1 fewer points per game in this series than he did during the season. Shooting just 40.8% from the floor and 31.3% from three, Williams has put up only 16 per game against Dallas and 14 over his last three.
With fewer than 19 points in four of five games, and Shai Gilgeous-Alexander taking on an even bigger role, Williams' inability to score should strike again in Game 6.
These odds imply a 52.61% probability the Under hits with a $10 bet paying out $19.01.
Best odds: -111 via FanDuel
Some may not be familiar with the cinematic classic Thunderstruck. It stars Kevin Durant as himself and a young uncoordinated boy who manages to switch talents with KD to become a star (did they kind of rip off “Like Mike?”).
That boy may have grown up to be Chet Holmgren because he looks like he should be the least coordinated player on the court, but he's quickly become a monster. Holmgren's shot-blocking prowess has been on full display against Dallas. He's averaging 2.8 blocks per game in the series and has gone Over 2.5 in three of five.
These odds are the longest they've been all playoffs for Holmgren after just one block in Game 5, and I like the value too much to pass on it. The odds imply a 53.05% probability the Over hits with a $10 bet cashing an $8.85 profit.
Best odds: -113 via FanDuel
Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 6 info & odds
- When: Saturday, May 18
- Tip-off: 8 p.m. ET
- Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
- How to watch: TNT
- Favorite: Mavericks -4 (-110 via bet365)
Thunder-Mavericks player props made Thursday at 1:45 p.m. ET.
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