The Oklahoma City Thunder continue to struggle against the Dallas Mavericks, and we're offering our top Thunder vs. Mavericks player props based on the best NBA odds.
The Dallas Mavericks (50-32) managed to fend off the top-seeded Oklahoma City Thunder (57-25) with a narrow 105-101 victory in Game 3, giving them a 2-1 series lead heading into Monday's matchup at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, Texas. The game is scheduled to tip off at 9:30 p.m. ET (TNT) with the Mavericks favored by 2 points across our best sports betting sites
Following the Game 3 loss, the Thunder have seen a decline in their NBA championship odds and will rely heavily on All-Star Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to step up in Game 4. The challenge for Oklahoma City remains: can they contain Luka Doncic, a strong contender in the NBA Finals MVP odds race?
Here ar e our best Thunder vs. Mavericks player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 4 player props
- Shai GIlgeous-Alexander Over 30.5 points (-108 via FanDuel) ????
- Chet Holmgren Over 2.5 blocks (-135 via DraftKings) ????
- Luka Doncic Under 29.5 points (-115 via bet365) ???
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Thunder vs. Mavericks prop bet predictions for Monday
There was once a Canadian guard making all kinds of electric plays in Dallas, and now Gilgeous-Alexander has a chance to do the same with the Thunder on the road for Game 4. An NBA MVP odds c ontender all season, SGA may have finished behind winner Nikola Jokic, but he received more votes than Doncic.
Now's his chance to show why, with Oklahoma City needing their star to be at his best to even the series. Gilgeous-Alexander has been taking advantage of Dallas' flimsy defense in through three games thus far. He's averaging 31 per game and has combined for 64 over his last two.
With odds as short as -125 at our other best sports betting apps, there's a 55.56% probability this prop hits, according to our odds calculator. But our odds at FanDuel cash a $9.26 profit on a $10 bet.
Best odds: -108 via FanDuel
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Watching Chet Holmgren swat away shots is like watching a father playing basketball in his driveway with his adolescent children. The size advantage is just so unfair that it's a wonder he doesn't block every shot.
Holmgren's shot blocking prowess was on full display in Game 3 against the Mavericks with four rejections in the first half. He leads the NBA postseason in blocks with 2.9 per game and is averaging three against Dallas so far. In seven playoff games, he's topped 2.5 blocks four times after finishing fourth in the NBA with 2.3 blocks in the regular season.
While these -135 odds are short, this same prop is as short as -149 at our other best books. Those odds imply a 59.88% probability Holmgren gets 3-plus blocks, but our odds pay $17.41 on a $10 bet.
Best odds: -135 via DraftKings
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It's clear Doncic isn't fully healthy and hasn't been since a knee injury in Game 3 of the Mavericks series against the Los Angeles Clippers. As a result, his 3-point shooting has looked more like mine after a few beverages on a summer's day; minimal elevation and as if he has blurred vision.
So while Doncic led the league in points per game this season (33.9), he's averaging just 23.3 against the Thunder and has only topped 29.5 points once in his last seven playoff games. Doncic's inconsistency from deep has been detrimental to his scoring.
He's shooting just 23-for-87 (26.4%) from beyond the arc in the playoffs and has shot 25% or worse in two of three games against the Thunder. These odds imply a 53.49% probability the Under hits, and a $10 bet would lead to a $8.70 profit if Doncic scores less than 30.
Best odds: -115 via bet365
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Thunder vs. Mavericks Game 4 info & odds
- When: Monday, May 13
- Tip-off: 9:30 p.m. ET
- Where: American Airlines Center, Dallas, Texas
- How to watch: TNT
- Favorite: Mavericks -2 (-110 via Caesars)
Thunder-Mavericks player props made Sunday at 11:45 a.m. ET.
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