There was a lot to unpack in Week 10. Some struggling teams that are often at the top of the standings turned back the clock, while some of this season’s upstarts stayed hot and kept right on doing their thing. We also saw what could be rock bottom for a few teams.
Four teams are idle this week, as all three Florida teams take Week 11 off and the Minnesota Vikings join them. Otherwise, we’ve got 14 games to pick from and some very interesting early-week lines.
Here are some bets I like for Week 11:
Two smart, defensive-minded head coaches will have had basically two weeks to prepare for this game. Do we really expect to see a lot of offense here? Robert Saleh is doing an excellent job with the Jets defense this season, as they went into Week 10 ranked third in yards per play against. The Patriots were also in the top 10 by that metric. Both offenses were also only averaging 5.3 yards per play.
The sample size is only three games, but Zach Wilson has thrown seven interceptions in 84 pass attempts against the Patriots. He’s only thrown two touchdown passes and has completed just 54% of his passes. Mac Jones only had 194 passing yards in Week 8 against the Jets on 35 pass attempts, so the New York defense did a good job bottling him up and limiting big plays. He’s certainly healthier this time around, but explosive plays should be kept to a minimum in this game by both defenses. These are two top-10 defenses in EPA/play and the extra prep should keep the same high standards in play.