Texas Tech vs Arizona Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6
Texas Tech vs Arizona Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets – NCAAF, Week 6

The Texas Tech Red Raiders (4-1) visit Arizona Stadium to take on the Arizona Wildcats (3-1) on Oct. 5 in Tucson, AZ. Kickoff is scheduled for 11:00pm EDT.

Arizona is a betting favorite in Week 6, with the spread sitting at -6 (-110).

The Texas Tech vs. Arizona Over/Under is 64 total points.

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Texas Tech vs Arizona Prediction:

The winning team model predicts Arizona will win this game with 64.0% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas Tech and Arizona, key player performances this season and recent team trends.

Texas Tech vs Arizona Spread Prediction:

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Arizona will cover the spread with 84.6% confidence.

This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.


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  • Texas Tech has hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.35 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.85 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Texas Tech has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • Texas Tech have covered the 1Q Spread in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+11.50 Units / 2% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1H Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+10.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Arizona has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Arizona have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 11 games (+3.65 Units / 27% ROI)

We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas Tech players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Texas Tech Player Prop Bets Today

  • Behren Morton has hit the Passing Yards Under in his last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Tahj Brooks has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 2 games (+2.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Behren Morton has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 2 away games (+2.00 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Coy Eakin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 95% ROI)

Top NCAAF player prop bets for Arizona players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Arizona Player Prop Best Bets Today

  • Tetairoa McMillan has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 84% ROI)
  • Noah Fifita has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Noah Fifita has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 3 games at home (+3.00 Units / 66% ROI)

Texas Tech Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Texas Tech is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.15 Units / -21.1% ROI).

  • Texas Tech is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.05 Units / -0.59% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 2-1 when betting the Over for +0.9 Units / 16.36% ROI
  • Texas Tech is 1-2 when betting the Under for -1.2 Units / -21.82% ROI

Arizona Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Arizona is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.25 Units / -37.31% ROI).

  • Arizona is 2-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 0.71% ROI
  • Arizona is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
  • Arizona is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI

Texas Tech is 10-7 (.588) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2023 season– 36th-best in FBS; Average: .455

Texas Tech is 10-3 (.769) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush since the 2023 season– T-30th-best in FBS; Average: .633

Texas Tech is 9-2 (.818) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– 20th-best in FBS; Average: .618

Texas Tech is 7-1 (.875) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– 9th-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .616

Arizona is 8-1 (.889) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2023 season– T-6th-best in FBS; Average: .535

Arizona is undefeated (6-0) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2023 season– T-best among Power Conference Teams; Average: .740

Arizona is 9-2 (.750) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-25th-best in FBS; Average: .545

Arizona is 5-2 (.714) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2023 season– T-14th-best in FBS; Average: .441

Arizona has 413 receptions in 17 games (24.3 per game) since the 2023 season — T-13th-best among FBS skill players. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

Arizona’s WRs has 274 receptions in 17 games (16.1 per game) since the 2023 season — 5th-best among Big 12 WRs. Texas Tech’s defense has allowed 21.2 receptions per game since the 2023 season — 14th-worst among FBS defenses.

  
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