The Texas State Bobcats (6-6) visit Gerald J. Ford Stadium to take on the Rice Owls (8-3) on Dec. 26 in Dallas, TX.
Texas State is a betting favorite in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -4.5 (-110).
The Texas State vs. Rice Over/Under is 60.5 total points.
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Texas State vs Rice Prediction, First Responder Bowl
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Texas State will win this bowl game with 57.0% confidence.
Texas State vs Rice Spread Prediction, First Responder Bowl
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Rice will cover the spread with 61.3% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both Texas State and Rice, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Texas State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Texas State has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 games (+14.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+6.50 Units / 86% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 away games (+4.50 Units / 58% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 94% ROI)
- Texas State has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 93% ROI)
Rice Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Rice has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 4 games at home (+4.10 Units / 94% ROI)
- Rice have covered the Spread in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+3.90 Units / 51% ROI)
- Rice have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.55 Units / 27% ROI)
- Rice have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 12 games (+2.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- Rice has hit the Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games at home (+2.80 Units / 36% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for Texas State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Texas State Player Prop Bets Today
- No trends found
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Rice players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rice Player Prop Best Bets Today
- AJ Padgett has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Luke McCaffrey has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
- Juma Otoviano has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- JT Daniels has hit the Passing Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- JT Daniels has hit the TD Passes Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 57% ROI)
Texas State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Texas State is 6-6 against the spread this college football season (-0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Texas State is 7-5 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.9 Units / 38.75% ROI
- Texas State is 5-6 when betting the Over for -1.6 Units / -12.12% ROI
- Texas State is 6-5 when betting the Under for +0.5 Units / 3.79% ROI
Rice Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Rice is 8-3 against the spread this college football season (+4.7 Units / 35.61% ROI).
- Rice is 5-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -15.11% ROI
- Rice is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Rice is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Texas State was winless (0-7) when their opponent rushed more than 30 times in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .414
Texas State is 3-10 (.214) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– 26th-worst in FBS; Average: .407
Texas State is 1-8 (.083) when making less than 3 explosive runs in a game since the 2021 season– tied for 12th-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .228
Texas State is 2-9 (.143) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for 6th-worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .335
Rice was winless (0-8) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays in the 2022 season– tied for worst in FBS; Average: .427
Rice is winless (0-6) when making less than 7 explosive plays since the 2021 season– tied for worst among Non-Power 5 Teams; Average: .209
Rice is 4-7 (.364) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– tied for 31st-worst in FBS; Average: .496
Rice is 7-5 (.583) when sacking the QB 3 or more times since the 2021 season– tied for 39th-worst in FBS; Average: .696
Rice’s QBs has thrown for 2,982 passing yards in 11 games (271.1 YPG) this season — 29th-best among FBS teams. Texas State’s defense has allowed 244.1 passing yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.
Rice’s offense has thrown for 2,981 passing yards in 11 games (271.0 YPG) this season — 31st-best among FBS offenses. Texas State’s defense has allowed 244.1 passing yards per game this season — 28th-worst among FBS defenses.