Texas State vs. Arkansas State Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 11-18-2023
Texas State vs. Arkansas State Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 11-18-2023

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It’s a matchup of teams from the Sun Belt’s West Division on the gridiron in the Razorback State as they look to pick up a conference victory. The Texas State Bobcats are on the road as they make the trip to take on the Arkansas State Red Wolves Saturday afternoon. Texas State came up a 31-23 loser at Coastal Carolina in their previous contest last Saturday, failing to cover the line as a three-point favorite. Arkansas State fell 21-14 on the road at South Alabama in their previous contest last Saturday though they covered the line as a 16.5-point favorite. In the all-time series between the teams, the Red Wolves own a 6-4 advantage but the Bobcats have taken the last three matchups. That includes a 16-13 home win in the most recent matchup on November 19, 2022.

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Texas State started the year 4-1 but has dropped three of their last five games after falling to Coastal Carolina last week. The Bobcats enter this game 6-4 overall and they stand tied for second in the Sun Belt West with a 3-3 conference mark. Against Coastal Carolina, Texas State led 10-7 after the opening quarter but surrendered 24 unanswered points to trail 31-10 with 9:16 to play in the game. The Bobcats scored two touchdowns in the last four minutes to close the gap but simply ran out of time to wind up with the loss. Texas State was outgained 347-280 in total offense, gave up 23 first downs while picking up 15 and lost time of possession by a 34:18 to 25:42 margin. Neither team committed a turnover in the contest.

The Bobcats enter this contest 40th in the FBS in passing offense as they average 263.6 yards per game through the air. Texas State stands 17th in the nation i n rushing offense as they average 200.7 yards per game this season on the ground. The Bobcats are 21st in the country in scoring offense by putting up 34.9 points per game. Texas State is 91st in the country in scoring defense as they allow an average of 28.5 points per game. TJ Finley is 208 of 302 passing for 2,553 yards with 18 touchdowns against five interceptions while adding 74 yards plus five scores on the ground. Malik Hornsby (eight of 15, 83 yards, INT, 229 rushing yards, six TD) is the backup. Ismail Mahdi leads the Bobcats on the ground with 159 carries for 1,050 yards and eight touchdowns this season. Donerio Davenport (70 carries, 347 yards, two TD), Jahmyl Jeter (30 carries, 129 yards, five TD), Damarius Good (11 carries, 105 yards) and Calvin Hill (31 carries, 98 yards) are next up on the depth chart. Joey Hobert leads the team with 64 receptions for 804 yards and seven scores this season. Kole Wilson (45 grabs, 527 yards, five TD), Ashtyn Hawki ns (39 catches, 523 yards, two TD), Mahdi (12 grabs, 219 yards, TD) and Drew Donley (11 receptions, 169 yards, TD) are all over 150 receiving yards on the year. Mason Shipley has drilled 41 of 42 extra point attempts and 12 of 12 field goal attempts with a long of 47 on the year.

Hill (undisclosed) last played on October 14 against Louisiana-Monroe and is questionable for this contest.

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