The Houston Texans (10-8) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (11-6) on Jan. 20. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Baltimore, MD.
The Ravens are betting favorites in this playoff matchup, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Texans vs. Ravens Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.
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Texans vs. Ravens Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Ravens will win this playoff game game with 77.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread with 58.5% confidence.
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Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Interceptions Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- Robert Woods has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 47% ROI)
- C.J. Stroud has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 77% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+5.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Noah Brown has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 away games (+5.85 Units / 73% ROI)
Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dalvin Cook has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Keaton Mitchell has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.05 Units / 89% ROI)
- Justice Hill has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- Isaiah Likely has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Dalvin Cook has hit the Longest Rush Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 79% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Ravens vs Texans
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Dalton Schultz | 36.5 -110 | 36.5 -120 |
| Odell Beckham Jr | 31.5 -120 | 31.5 -110 |
| Nico Collins | 77.5 -115 | 77.5 -115 |
| Zay Flowers | 50.5 -115 | 50.5 -115 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Ravens vs Texans
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Lamar Jackson | 53.5 -115 | 53.5 -115 |
| Devin Singletary | 55.5 -115 | 55.5 -115 |
| CJ Stroud | 9.5 -110 | 9.5 -120 |
Texans Best Bets:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+8.65 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+5.10 Units / 25% ROI)
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 1H Spread in 13 of their last 14 games (+12.05 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 14 games (+10.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 2Q Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 56% ROI)
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans went 10-8 (+1.1 Units / 5.49% ROI).
- Texans are 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.45 Units / 27.04% ROI
- Texans are 7-11 when betting the Over for -5.1 Units / -25.76% ROI
- Texans are 11-7 when betting the Under for +3.3 Units / ROI
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens went 11-6 (+4.4 Units / 23.4% ROI).
- Ravens are 13-4 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 14.03% ROI
- Ravens are 8-9 when betting the Over for -1.9 Units / -10.16% ROI
- Ravens are 9-8 when betting the Under for +0.2 Units / 1.07% ROI
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Texans are winless (0-5) vs top 10 defenses this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Texans are winless (0-9) vs top 10 defenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .469.
The Texans are 2-11 (.154) vs top 10 pass defenses since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .496.
The Texans are 7-2 (.778) when passing for more than 250 yards this season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .586.
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Ravens are undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .363.
The Ravens are undefeated (4-0) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .459.
The Ravens are undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run offenses this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .424.
The Ravens are undefeated (6-0) vs top 10 run defenses this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .488.
Additional Matchup Notes for Houston Texans vs. Baltimore Ravens
The Ravens have scored on 40% of their drives in the second half this season — 5th-best in NFL. The Texans defense has allowed scores on 42.1% of opponent drives in the second half this season — 5th-worst in NFL.