The Houston Texans (1-10) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (9-3) on Dec. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Arlington.
The Cowboys are betting favorites in Week 14, with the spread sitting at -17 (-110).
The Texans vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 45 total points for the game.
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Texans vs. Cowboys Prediction for Week 14
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this Week 14 game with 77.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread this Week 14 with 56.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texans and Cowboys, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 10 of his last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 26% ROI)
- Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+4.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Eno Benjamin has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 4 away games (+4.10 Units / 90% ROI)
Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for Week 14, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.35 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receptions Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.20 Units / 61% ROI)
- Tony Pollard has hit the Receptions Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+6.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- Tony Pollard has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 10 of his last 14 games (+4.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Interceptions Over in 5 of his last 8 games at home (+3.50 Units / 44% ROI)
Texans Best Bets for Week 14:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+6.30 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+6.00 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 2Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.95 Units / 64% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets for Week 14:
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2H Moneyline in 14 of their last 17 games (+11.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+8.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+8.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.90 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.80 Units / 52% ROI)
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans have gone 4-7 (-3.65 Units / -27.55% ROI).
- Texans are 1-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.4 Units / -61.67% ROI
- Texans are 4-8 when betting the Over for -4.85 Units / -36.6% ROI
- Texans are 8-4 when betting the Under for +3.6 Units / ROI
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Cowboys have gone 8-4 (+3.6 Units / 27.48% ROI).
- Cowboys are 9-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.65 Units / 28.18% ROI
- Cowboys are 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Cowboys are 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Texans are 1-17-1 (.053) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Texans are winless (0-3-1) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .491.
The Texans are winless (0-5-1) at home this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .564.
The Texans are 2-12-1 (.133) at home since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .534.
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Cowboys are 7-2 (.778) when forcing 1 or more turnovers this season — tied for sixth-best in NFL. The Texans have turned the ball over 21 times this season — tied for second-most in NFL.
The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .459.