The Houston Texans (2-13) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (4-11) on Jan. 8. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Indianapolis.
The Colts are betting favorites in Week 18, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Texans vs. Colts Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.
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Texans vs. Colts Prediction for Week 18
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Colts will win this Week 18 game with 57.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread this Week 18 with 55.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texans and Colts, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Brandin Cooks has hit the Receptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Dameon Pierce has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- Phillip Dorsett has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 games (+5.20 Units / 69% ROI)
- Brandin Cooks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 51% ROI)
- Rex Burkhead has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.10 Units / 34% ROI)
Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for Week 18, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Matt Ryan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receptions Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alec Pierce has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jonathan Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Michael Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 11 of his last 16 games (+5.00 Units / 25% ROI)
Texans Best Bets for Week 18:
- The Houston Texans have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+6.10 Units / 122% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 2Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.95 Units / 66% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+5.40 Units / 77% ROI)
Colts Best Bets for Week 18:
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.30 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+8.25 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+6.70 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Indianapolis Colts have covered the 1Q Spread in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI)
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans have gone 7-8 (-1.75 Units / -10% ROI).
- Texans are 2-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -55.31% ROI
- Texans are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5.05 Units / -28.61% ROI
- Texans are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / ROI
Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts have gone 6-10 (-4.85 Units / -27.95% ROI).
- Colts are 4-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.35 Units / -34.75% ROI
- Colts are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Colts are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / 19.32% ROI
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts
The Texans are 1-20-1 (.045) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Texans are winless (0-9-1) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .494.
The Texans are winless (0-5-1) when within 3 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Texans are 1-7-1 (.111) when not forcing a fumble this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .423.
Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Colts are 1-4-1 (.167) when favorites this season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .645.