The Houston Texans (0-1) visit Soldier Field to take on the Chicago Bears (1-1) on Sep. 25. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Chicago.
The Bears are betting favorites in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-115).
The Texans vs. Bears Over/Under is 40.5 total points for the game.
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Texans vs. Bears Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Bears will win this Week 3 game with 53.5% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Texans will cover the spread this Week 3 with 58.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Texans and Bears, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Texans Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Texans players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Davis Mills has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.65 Units / 54% ROI)
- Jordan Akins has hit the Receptions Over in 4 of his last 5 games (+3.15 Units / 44% ROI)
- Rex Burkhead has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- O.J. Howard has hit the Receptions Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- Brandin Cooks has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 8 away games (+1.35 Units / 13% ROI)
Best Bears Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bears players for Week 3, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Justin Fields has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+5.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Darnell Mooney has hit the Receptions Over in 5 of his last 7 games at home (+4.20 Units / 47% ROI)
- Equanimeous St. Brown has hit the Receptions Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Pass Attempts Under in 8 of his last 11 games (+3.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Justin Fields has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 12 games (+2.90 Units / 19% ROI)
Texans Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games (+10.60 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+10.30 Units / 99% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have covered the 1H Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.95 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.90 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Houston Texans have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 6 away games (+5.80 Units / 97% ROI)
Bears Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have scored last in 7 of their last 9 games (+6.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+4.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the 2H Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.40 Units / 72% ROI)
- The Chicago Bears have hit the Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Texans Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Texans have gone 2-0 (+2 Units / 88.89% ROI).
- Texans are 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -50% ROI
- Texans are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Texans are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / ROI
Bears Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Bears have gone 1-1 (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Bears are 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.25 Units / 62.5% ROI
- Bears are 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- Bears are 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
Houston Texans: Keys to the Game vs. the Chicago Bears
The Texans are winless (0-4-1) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .492.
The Texans are 1-12-1 (.071) when converting less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .421.
The Texans were winless (0-3) when within 7 points at the two minute warning last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .495.
The Texans were winless (0-10) when scoring less than 22 points last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .222.
Chicago Bears: Keys to the Game vs. the Houston Texans
The Bears were winless (0-6) when losing at least one fumble last season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .370.
The Bears are winless (0-6) when losing at least one fumble since the 2021 season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .374.