The TCU Horned Frogs visit John O’Quinn Field at TDECU Stadium to take on the Houston Cougars on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:00pm EDT in Houston.
TCU is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -7.5 (-110).
The TCU vs. Houston Over/Under is 64.5 total points.
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TCU vs Houston Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 73.7% confidence.
TCU vs Houston Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 78.7% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Houston, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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TCU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- TCU has hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 away games (+8.00 Units / 74% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.75 Units / 50% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 away games (+5.65 Units / 55% ROI)
- TCU have covered the 1H Spread in 5 of their last 7 away games (+2.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.85 Units / 37% ROI)
Houston Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Houston has hit the Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+3.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- Houston has hit the Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Houston has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 3 of their last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 39% ROI)
TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
TCU is 0-2 against the spread this college football season (-2.2 Units / -100% ROI).
- TCU is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.5 Units / -100% ROI
- TCU is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- TCU is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
Houston Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Houston is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI).
- Houston is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.7 Units / -44.74% ROI
- Houston is 1-1 when betting the Over for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Houston is 1-1 when betting the Under for -0.1 Units / -4.55% ROI
#17 TCU was 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times in the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .367
#17 TCU is 7-1 (.875) when sacking the QB less than 3 times since the 2022 season– 2nd-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .366
#17 TCU is 8-2 (.667) when allowing less than 3 sacks since the 2022 season– tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .438
#17 TCU is 8-2 (.667) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– tied for 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .359
Houston is winless (0-3) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .430
Houston is winless (0-4) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .437
Houston is winless (0-2) when the opposing team rushes more than 30 times since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .422
Houston is winless (0-2) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2021 season– worst among Power 5 Teams; Average: .497
Houston’s QBs has thrown for 4,779 passing yards in 15 games (318.6 YPG) since the 2022 season — eighth-best among FBS teams. TCU’s defense has allowed 275.1 passing yards per game since the 2022 season — fourth-worst among Big 12 defenses.
Houston’s TEs has 1 receptions in 2 games (just 0.5 per game) this season — tied for third-worst among FBS TEs. TCU’s defense has allowed 27.5 receptions per game this season — worst among Big 12 defenses.