The TCU Horned Frogs (10-0) visit McLane Stadium to take on the Baylor Bears (6-4) on Nov. 19. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Waco.
TCU are betting favorites in Week 12, with the spread sitting at -2.5 (-110).
The Over/Under for TCU vs. Baylor is 58 total points.
Bet now on Baylor vs TCU & all NCAAF games with BetMGM
TCU vs Baylor Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts TCU will win this game with 53.5% confidence.
TCU vs Baylor Spread Prediction for Week 12
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts TCU will cover the spread with 51.9% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both TCU and Baylor, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best TCU Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for TCU players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kendre Miller has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Max Duggan has hit the TD Passes Over in 6 of his last 9 games (+4.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Quentin Johnston has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+3.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Max Duggan has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Taye Barber has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 5 of his last 7 games (+2.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Max Duggan has hit the Passing Yards Under in 7 of his last 11 games (+2.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- Derius Davis has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 3 of his last 4 away games (+2.00 Units / 43% ROI)
Best Baylor Player Prop Best Bets Today
Top NCAAF player prop bets for Baylor players for Week 12, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ben Sims has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Blake Shapen has hit the TD Passes Under in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 74% ROI)
TCU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- TCU has hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 13 games (+12.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 89% ROI)
- TCU have covered the Spread in 8 of their last 10 games (+6.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- TCU has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 5 away games (+5.85 Units / 55% ROI)
Baylor Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Baylor has hit the Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the Spread in 15 of their last 22 games (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the 1H Moneyline in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Baylor have covered the 1Q Spread in 14 of their last 22 games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Baylor has hit the Team Total Under in their last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 88% ROI)
TCU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
TCU has gone 8-1 against the spread this college football season (+6.9 Units / 0% ROI).
- TCU is 9-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +11 Units / 53.14% ROI
- TCU is 6-4 when betting the Over for +1.6 Units / 14.55% ROI
- TCU is 4-6 when betting the Under for -2.6 Units / -23.64% ROI
Baylor Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Baylor has gone 5-4 against the spread this college football season (+0.6 Units / 6.06% ROI).
- Baylor is 4-4 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -6.1% ROI
- Baylor is 6-3 when betting the Over for +2.7 Units / 27.27% ROI
- Baylor is 3-6 when betting the Under for -3.6 Units / -36.36% ROI
#8 TCU is 11-5 (.579) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays — tied for 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .428
#8 TCU is 9-3 (.643) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties — 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .383
#8 TCU is 10-1 (.909) when allowing less than 5 yards per rush — 6th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .600
#8 TCU is 9-6 (.600) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — 10th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .378
Baylor is 8-2 (.800) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team — tied for 9th-best in FBS; Average: .497
Baylor is undefeated (7-0) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes — tied for best in FBS; Average: .561
Baylor is 10-5 (.667) when sacking the QB less than 3 times — tied for 12th-best in FBS; Average: .379
Baylor is 13-5 (.591) when rushing for more than 100 yards — 13th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .457
Baylor’s offense has 30 rushing touchdowns this season — tied for most among FBS offenses. TCU’s defense has allowed 12 rushing TDs this season — fourth-fewest among Big 12 defenses.