The knockout rounds of the Euros kick off on Saturday with this match between two Alpine states; here are our Switzerland vs. Italy predictions based on the odds from our best soccer betting sites.
Italy, the reigning champions, were seconds away from elimination until Mattia Zaccagni came to the rescue with a sublime equalizer in the 98th minute against Croatia. The Azzurri have stumbled into the last 16, having gone behind in all three of their matches at Euro 2024.
Despite their group-stage wobble, Italy are marginal favorites against Switzerland and have the seventh-shortest Euro 2024 odds to win it all.
Switzerland are unbeaten in their last six matches and scored in each of those contests. The Swiss had Germany on the ropes with their high press in the final Group A encounter.
All three of Switzerland's knockout games since 2016 en ded in draws, needing penalties to decide a winner. Is the same scenario on the cards in Berlin on Saturday?
Switzerland vs. Italy predictions for Saturday
- Final score: Switzerland 1 – Italy 1 (+500 via bet365)
- Dan Ndoye anytime goal scorer (+500 via FanDuel)
- Best bet: Both teams to score (+114 via FanDuel)
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Switzerland vs. Italy score prediction
If there's a game that screams draw, this is it. Italy are extra-time machines, with 15 of Italy's their previous 26 knockout matches at major international tournaments going into the stressful deadlock-breaking period. Four of their last five have also gone beyond the initial 90 minutes.
< p class=''>The Azzurri have had more games go to extra time than any other nation across the World Cup and European Championships. Only Spain, with 11 penalty shootouts, have more than Italy's 10. Since Euro 2016, Switzerland has drawn more games than any other side at the tournament (8).
The only knockout game the Swiss won was over France on penalties at Euro 2020. Neither side has conceded more than one goal in a match in their last eight, and the Swiss haven't shipped multiple goals in their previous 10. Five of the last six matches between these two nations ended in draws.
At +500, bet365's odds imply a probability of 16.7%, and a $10 wager pays a profit of $50 if it hits.
Best odds: +500 via bet365
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Switzerland vs. Italy anytime goal scorer prediction
The Bologna winger has been one of Switzerland's main threats. He had the highest xG of any Swiss player in their last two matches and has nine shots at the competition, seven of which were from inside the box. Ndoye has attacked with guile throughout Euro 2024, and, as the stats show, he's not afraid to shoot.
The Serie A forward will be looking to get behind an Italian defense that has been inviting shots. Italy's goalkeeper, Gianluigi Donnarumma, made 11 saves in the group stage, the most by an Italian goalkeeper at a major tournament in the last 12 years.
Best odds: +500 via FanDuel
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Switzerland vs. Italy best bet
Neither team has kept a clean sheet in their last three games in all competitions. Switzerland even conceded to Scotland, who recorded just 17 shot attempts in their three group games. That's a joint record for the fewest shots in the group stages of a European Championship.
Italy has conceded once in their last seven Euros matches, while Switzerland is averaging 1.1 goals per game in 2024. The Italians are scoring 0.8 per match this calendar year.
Donnarumma has been busier than a barista during the morning rush. Swiss keeper Yann Sommer has saved eight shots in the tournament, including four against Hungary.
Both teams will be nervy, which will create chances for attack. At +114, FanDuel's odds represent a 46.7% win probability, and a $10 wager will pay a profit of $11.40 if it hits.
Be st odds: +114 via FanDuel
Switzerland vs. Italy game info
- When: Saturday, June 29 (noon ET)
- Where: Olympiastadion (Berlin, Germany)
- How to watch: Fox Sports (U.S.), TSN (Canada)
- Favorite: Italy (+145 via DraftKings)
Switzerland vs. Italy predictions made Thursday at 5 p.m. ET.
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