The Kansas City Chiefs may be facing the league's top pass defense in Super Bowl 57, but there's no reason the top offense in the NFL should be concerned. Read on for our Chiefs vs. Eagles SGP picks based on the best Super Bowl odds.
The Philadelphia Eagles allowed fewer yards through the air than any other defense in the NFL this season. Their talented pass rush and secondary unit are garnering plenty of attention ahead of the game via our Super Bowl defensive player prop predictions and Super Bowl sacks prop odds and predictions.
We're expecting a high-scoring game with our Super Bowl predictions, and our Super Bowl SGP predictions tap into the connection on the other side of the matchup-the one between QB and TE that helped push the Chiefs to the most prolific offense in football this season.
Here are o ur best Chiefs vs. Eagles NFL SGP picks (odds via DraftKings; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Super Bowl SGP predictions
- Chiefs +1.5 (-110)????
- Patrick Mahomes 40-plus passing attempts (-145)????
- Travis Kelce anytime touchdown scorer (-120)?????
Combined odds: +450
SGP predictions for Chiefs vs. Eagles
The Chiefs may be facing the top pass defense in the league, but let's not ignore that Kansas City was the only offense in the NFL this season to average more than 400 yards of total offense per game. Although Philadelphia's defense put up impressive numbers, those stats weren't as impressive in games against quality quarterbacks.
The Eagles coughed up 347 yards and three passing touchdowns to Dallas Cowboys quarterback Dak Prescott. Aaron Rodgers led the Green Bay Packers to a 33-point performance. And the NFC playoff bracket saw Philly duel against New York Giants QB Daniel Jones and a San Francisco 49ers offense led by fourth-string QB Josh Johnson for much of the game to reach the Super Bowl. Chiefs QB Patrick Mahomes will be a different beast entirely, and I'm not sure the Eagles are ready to face it.
The standard moneyline odds on the Chiefs via DraftKings are +105, but for SGPs, the odds decrease to +100. For that reason, we're opting for the Kansas City point spread for the parlay as a 10-point difference from +100 to -110 is a worthwhile price to buy 1.5 points.
Although teams have been able to run on the Eagles more than they've been able to throw against them with much success this season, head coach Andy Reid's offense is predicated upon spreading you out and keeping to its tenets. I just don't envision the Chiefs suddenly changing it up and 'establishing the run' in the biggest game of the season.
Check out our Patrick Mahomes props and Chiefs Super Bowl team props.
We're admittedly not getting great value with -145 odds for this prop, but FanDuel does not allow passing attempt props to be included in Same Game Parlays. For that reason, we're submitting this parlay at DraftKings.
While we're not crazy about the -145 odds, the 40-plus passing attempts prop is the most sensible for the SGP. Bumping up to 45-plus attempts (+190) is just too bold. While Mahomes has reached the 40-attempt mark eight times (including the playoffs) this year, he exceeded 45 attempts only once on the campaign.
It's hard to imagine the Chiefs being competitive in this Super Bowl without some contributions from their top receiving target. K elce showed right away this season that life after Tyreek Hill could still be pretty fantastic for the Kansas City offense, catching a dozen touchdowns across the team's first 11 games.
Check out our top Travis Kelce props and Kelce brothers Super Bowl props.
Though Kelce was held out of the end zone over the final six games of the regular season, he has turned the faucet back on for the playoffs. Kelce has racked up three TDs over the Chiefs' two postseason contests. He's as likely of a Super Bowl touchdown scorer as you're going to find in this matchup.
Chiefs-Eagles SGP picks made 2/11/2023 at 7:15 p.m. ET.
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