The Denver Nuggets host the Phoenix Suns as we pick the best Suns-Nuggets NBA player props based on the best NBA odds.
The Suns and Nuggets meet for the second time in 2023-24, and Devin Booker will not be on the floor once again. Who will step up for the Suns without their second-leading scorer?
Meanwhile, the Nuggets enter the game very healthy as they look for their fifth straight win and ninth in the team's last 10 contests. Will Booker's absence lead to more production from the Nuggets's key players? Or will this game be a blowout early?
Here are our best Suns vs. Nuggets NBA player props and NBA picks (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Suns vs. Nuggets NBA player props: Tuesday
- Bradley Beal Over 18.5 points (-125 via bet365) ????
- Nikola Jokic Over 8.5 assists (-125 via bet365) ????
- Kevin Durant Over 2.5 made 3-pointers (+155 via bet365) ??
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Suns vs. Nuggets props
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Beal is getting a massive opportunity to elevate his season scoring average on Tuesday with Booker out. He scored 31 points while shooting 10-of-14 from the field during Sunday 's loss to the Oklahoma City Thunder.
Even with Booker playing most of the season, Beal is still averaging 18.3 points per game, the third-most on the team. The most significant issue with Beal is that his floor is really low. He notched just seven points over 20 minutes on Saturday against the Houston Rockets.
Yet, with how we expect this game to go, this is a great play even with odds of -125. You may want to consider playing Beal to score 20-plus points too. That's being offered at +100 through FanDuel, giving it a 50% chance of happening. The worst odds for that alt line are at Caesars, where the price is -121. That means Caesars is saying there's almost a 55% chance he hits the 20-point mark on Tuesday, making the value from FanDuel significant.
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Jokic is averaging the fourth-most assists per game in the NBA, but he's managed just seven in each of his last two outings. Those back-to-back performances come after he dished out at least 11 in four consecutive matchups following the NBA All-Star Game.
Jokic dished out 16 assists earlier in 2023-24 against the Suns, tied for his second-most this campaign. The Suns rank among the top 10 in assists allowed per game, but it's hard to take that number seriously when Jokic is on the floor.
It would have been nice to get this price lower, but -125 is the best available. FanDuel is even asking -136 for the Over, meaning that sportsbook thinks there's greater than a 57% chance Jokic hits this number.
Durant is 3-of-8 from deep in March. He hasn't made more than two 3-pointers in a game since Feb. 4, when Durant knocked down three against the Washington Wizards. But this is still a low-risk, high-reward play.
Durant averaged 5.9 3-point attempts per game throughout January and February. He's a 42.1% 3-point shooter this season, so Durant surpassing that average on Tuesday will be key to cashing the Over on this prop. He did attempt at least five from deep in eight of his 11 games during February.
The Nuggets rank 15th in the league in 3-point percentage allowed per game. They're also allowing the second-fewest points per contest from deep. Therefore, we wouldn't make this bet if the price drops lower than +150.
Durant is far from a sure thing to hit the Over here. But we expect him to attempt more 3-pointers on Tuesday with his team likely trailing early.
Suns vs. Nuggets NBA player props made 3/5/24 at 9:33a.m. ET.
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