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College Basketball pick today: Houston Cougars vs Cincinnati Bearcats – Under 136 points (-110), 3:00 pm ET
The under is the play in this matchup because Houston boasts one of the best defenses in all of college basketball and plays at an extremely slow pace. Cincinnati is one of the best teams at taking care of the basketball, but I do not see the Bearcats scoring in the half court at a consistent rate.
According to KenPom, Houston is ranked #2 in adjusted defensive efficiency, effective field goal percentage and 3-point percentage. The Cougars are giving up just 51 points per game this season and the Bearcats simply do not have the talent to score enough points. I expect Houston to control the pace, as well, and really slow the game down to give them an advantage. The Cougars are ranked #343 in adjusted tempo, therefore backing the under will be the play.