The Pittsburgh Steelers (8-7) visit Lumen Field to take on the Seattle Seahawks (8-5) on Dec. 31. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:05pm EST in Seattle, WA.
The Seahawks are betting favorites in this Week 17 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Steelers vs. Seahawks Over/Under is 41.5 total points for the game.
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Steelers vs. Seahawks Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this Week 17 game with 63.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Seahawks will cover the spread with 61.3% confidence.
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Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players this Week 17 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- George Pickens has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 72% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Best Seahawks Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Geno Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.90 Units / 66% ROI)
- Geno Smith has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.40 Units / 46% ROI)
- Will Dissly has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.45 Units / 52% ROI)
- Geno Smith has hit the Completions Over in 12 of his last 17 games (+6.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- Geno Smith has hit the Longest Rush Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 86% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+4.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.00 Units / 20% ROI)
Seahawks Best Bets:
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 3Q Spread in 14 of their last 18 games (+9.85 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+8.10 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+5.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.90 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 2H Spread in 7 of their last 9 games at home (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers went 8-7 (+0.45 Units / 2.71% ROI).
- Steelers are 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.45 Units / -2.2% ROI
- Steelers are 5-10 when betting the Over for -6 Units / -36.36% ROI
- Steelers are 10-5 when betting the Under for +4.5 Units / ROI
Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks went 8-5 (+2.45 Units / 14.89% ROI).
- Seahawks are 8-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.7 Units / 6.98% ROI
- Seahawks are 6-9 when betting the Over for -3.9 Units / -23.64% ROI
- Seahawks are 9-6 when betting the Under for +2.4 Units / 14.55% ROI
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks
The Steelers are 9-3 (.750) when rushing for 120 or more yards since the 2022 season — T-9th-best in NFL. The Seahawks have allowed an average of 141.3 rushing yards per game since the 2022 season — worst in NFL.
The Steelers are winless (0-4) when intercepting no passes this season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .344.
The Steelers are undefeated (3-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .588.
The Steelers are 6-1 (.857) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays this season — T-4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .584.
Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Seahawks are undefeated (6-0) when rushing for more than 100 yards this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .617.
The Seahawks are undefeated (4-0) vs bottom 10 pass offenses this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .647.
The Seahawks are 5-3 (.625) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Seahawks are 4-7 (.364) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.