The Pittsburgh Steelers (9-7) visit M&T Bank Stadium to take on the Baltimore Ravens (11-5) on Jan. 6. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Baltimore, MD.
The Steelers are betting favorites in this Week 18 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-110).
The Steelers vs. Ravens Over/Under is 36.5 total points for the game.
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Steelers vs. Ravens Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Steelers will win this Week 18 game with 60.6% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 59.0% confidence.
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Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players this Week 18 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 49% ROI)
- George Pickens has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 72% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
- Kenny Pickett has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)
Best Ravens Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Ravens players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Lamar Jackson has hit the TD Passes Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Lamar Jackson has hit the Completions Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Devin Duvernay has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.65 Units / 53% ROI)
- Devin Duvernay has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 61% ROI)
- Mark Andrews has hit the Longest Reception Under in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.80 Units / 50% ROI)
Steelers Best Bets:
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the Spread in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.45 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.35 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in their last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.25 Units / 22% ROI)
Ravens Best Bets:
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.65 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 1H Moneyline in 15 of their last 21 games (+7.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+6.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Ravens have covered the 1H Spread in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.45 Units / 28% ROI)
Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers went 9-7 (+1.45 Units / 8.19% ROI).
- Steelers are 9-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.3 Units / 6.06% ROI
- Steelers are 6-10 when betting the Over for -5 Units / -28.41% ROI
- Steelers are 10-6 when betting the Under for +3.4 Units / ROI
Ravens Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Ravens went 11-5 (+5.55 Units / 31.44% ROI).
- Ravens are 13-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.55 Units / 16.99% ROI
- Ravens are 8-8 when betting the Over for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Ravens are 8-8 when betting the Under for -0.8 Units / -4.55% ROI
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Baltimore Ravens
The Steelers are 1-5 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception this season — T-7th-worst in NFL. The Ravens have intercepted 18 passes this season — 3rd-most in NFL.
The Steelers are undefeated (4-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .579.
The Steelers are 2-11 (.154) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season — 2nd-worst in NFL. The Ravens have intercepted 32 passes since the 2022 season — 5th-most in NFL.
The Steelers are winless (0-4) vs top 10 run defenses this season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .444.
Baltimore Ravens: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Ravens are undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 offenses this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .350.
The Ravens are undefeated (4-0) when sacking the QB less than 3 times this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .364.
The Ravens are undefeated (5-0) vs top 10 run offenses this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .406.
The Ravens are undefeated (6-0) vs bottom 10 pass defenses this season — best in NFL; League Avg: .494.