Steelers vs Colts Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 15
Steelers vs Colts Prediction, Odds & Best Prop Bets: NFL, Week 15

The Pittsburgh Steelers (7-6) visit Lucas Oil Stadium to take on the Indianapolis Colts (8-5) on Dec. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 4:30pm EST in Indianapolis, IN.

The Colts are betting favorites in this Week 15 matchup, with the spread sitting at -3 (+100).

The Steelers vs. Colts Over/Under is 42 total points for the game.

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Steelers vs. Colts Prediction

The winning team model predicts the Colts will win this Week 15 game with 55.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.

Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Steelers will cover the spread with 69.8% confidence.


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Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players this Week 15 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Kenny Pickett has hit the TD Passes Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.45 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Interceptions Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.25 Units / 49% ROI)
  • George Pickens has hit the Receptions Under in his last 5 away games (+5.05 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Completions Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Kenny Pickett has hit the Pass Attempts Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 77% ROI)

Best Colts Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Colts players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Michael Pittman has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+9.65 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Michael Pittman has hit the Longest Reception Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+7.90 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jonathan Taylor has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.55 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Kylen Granson has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 82% ROI)
  • Jonathan Taylor has hit the Longest Reception Under in his last 5 games at home (+5.00 Units / 78% ROI)

  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the Spread in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.55 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 20 games (+6.55 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 2H Spread in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.30 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 2H Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.55 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 3Q Spread in 6 of their last 7 away games (+4.85 Units / 47% ROI)

  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.50 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.20 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 2H Game Total Over in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Indianapolis Colts have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 6 of their last 8 games at home (+3.55 Units / 39% ROI)

Steelers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Steelers went 7-6 (+0.55 Units / 3.85% ROI).

  • Steelers are 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.75 Units / -4.07% ROI
  • Steelers are 3-10 when betting the Over for -8 Units / -55.94% ROI
  • Steelers are 10-3 when betting the Under for +6.7 Units / ROI

Colts Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this NFL season, the Colts went 8-5 (+2.45 Units / 17.01% ROI).

  • Colts are 7-6 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 22.18% ROI
  • Colts are 9-4 when betting the Over for +4.6 Units / 32.17% ROI
  • Colts are 4-9 when betting the Under for -5.9 Units / -41.26% ROI

Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Indianapolis Colts

The Steelers are undefeated (3-0) when making 5 or more explosive passes in a game this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .581.

The Steelers are winless (0-3) when intercepting no passes this season — tied for worst in NFL; League Avg: .349.

The Steelers are 3-6 (.333) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team this season — tied for 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.

The Steelers are 4-4 (.500) at home this season — tied for 10th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .557.

Indianapolis Colts: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers

The Colts are 3-14-1 (.167) when throwing at least 1 interception since the 2022 season — tied for third-worst in NFL. The Steelers have intercepted 33 passes since the 2022 season — second-most in NFL.

The Colts are 2-4-1 (.286) when rushing more than 30 times since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .721.

The Colts are 5-2 (.714) when within 7 points at the two minute warning this season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.

  
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