The Pittsburgh Steelers (0-0) visit Paycor Stadium to take on the Cincinnati Bengals (0-0) on Sep. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm ET in Cincinnati.
The Bengals are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at –6.5 (-110).
The Steelers vs. Bengals Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.
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Steelers vs. Bengals Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Bengals will win this Week 1 NFL matchup with 60.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Steelers and Bengals, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Steelers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Steelers players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Najee Harris has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 8 of his last 9 away games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Diontae Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receptions Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- Chase Claypool has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- Pat Freiermuth has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.35 Units / 37% ROI)
Best Bengals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Bengals players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Joe Burrow has hit the Completions Over in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.05 Units / 72% ROI)
- Joe Mixon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 59% ROI)
- Joe Burrow has hit the TD Passes Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+5.20 Units / 18% ROI)
- Joe Mixon has hit the Carries Under in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+4.80 Units / 55% ROI)
- Tee Higgins has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 13 games (+4.75 Units / 32% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bengals vs Steelers
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | +400 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | +450 |
| Tee Higgins | +750 |
| Najee Harris | +800 |
| Tyler Boyd | +900 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Bengals vs Steelers
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Joe Mixon | -190 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | -165 |
| Najee Harris | -105 |
| Tee Higgins | +120 |
| Pat Freiermuth | +145 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Bengals vs Steelers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Boyd | 40.5 -115 | 40.5 -110 |
| Tee Higgins | 70.5 -110 | 70.5 -115 |
| Najee Harris | 23.5 -120 | 23.5 -110 |
| Ja'Marr Chase | 70.5 -115 | 70.5 -110 |
| Joe Mixon | 14.5 -120 | 14.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Bengals vs Steelers
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Joe Burrow | 5.5 -115 | 5.5 -115 |
| Joe Mixon | 69.5 -115 | 69.5 -115 |
| Mitchell Trubisky | 19.5 -110 | 19.5 -115 |
| Najee Harris | 58.5 -115 | 58.5 -115 |
Steelers Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have scored last in 14 of their last 16 games (+12.80 Units / 68% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have covered the 4Q Spread in their last 10 games (+10.20 Units / 86% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+10.00 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 16 games (+7.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Steelers have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.20 Units / 29% ROI)
Bengals Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 16 of their last 20 games (+13.35 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the 3Q Spread in 17 of their last 21 games (+12.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 11 games (+8.85 Units / 73% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have covered the Spread in their last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Bengals have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 games (+7.30 Units / 61% ROI)
Pittsburgh Steelers: Keys to the Game vs. the Cincinnati Bengals
The Steelers were 6-1 (.857) vs top 10 run offenses last season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .459.
The Steelers were 2-5 (.286) when rushing less than 20 times last season — 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .121.
The Steelers were undefeated (7-0-1) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .491.
The Steelers were 6-1-1 (.750) when allowing less than 5 explosive passes last season — tied for 5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .572.
Cincinnati Bengals: Keys to the Game vs. the Pittsburgh Steelers
The Bengals were 4-0 (1.000) when rushing for 120 or more yards last season — tied for best in NFL. The Steelers allowed an average of 146.6 rushing yards per game last season — worst in NFL.
The Bengals were 1-2 (.333) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .121.