The 2022-23 UEFA Nations League continues on Thursday with a semifinal matchup between Spain and Italy.
- Spain vs Italy Match Info
- Spain vs Italy Odds & Spread
- Spain vs Italy Prediction & Pick
- Spain vs Italy Betting Trends
- Spain vs Italy Best Bet
Spain vs Italy Match Info
2022-23 UEFA Nations League Semifinal
Spain vs. Italy
Date:'Thursday, June 15, 2023
Time:'2:45 p.m. ET
Venue:'De Grolsch Veste – Enschede, Netherlands
Spain enters the semifinals as the No. 2 seed after a 3-2-1 (W-D-L) performance in the UEFA Nations League group stage. Meanwhile, Italy also went 3-2-1 to advance to this semifinal matchup.
Spain vs Italy Odds & Spread
Moneyline:'ESP: (+120) | ITA: (+230) | Draw (+195)
Spread:'ESP: -1 (+390) | ITA: +1 (-170)
Total:'2.5 – Over: (+126) | Under: (-176)
Team to Score the First Goal:'ESP: (-125) | ITA: (+130) I NO GOALS: (+650)
Spain enters this contest as the favorite on FanDuel Sportsbook's odds. This 2:45 p.m. ET clash also features an over/under of 2.5 goals with the Under being f avored at -176 odds.
Spain vs Italy Prediction & Pick
This classic rivalry has leaned in Spain's favor recently, highlighted by four wins in its last 13 matchups against Italy. For reference, the Italians only have one victory during that span. The two countries most recently met at the 2021 UEFA Nations League Semifinal, resulting in a 2-1 victory over the Spanish squad.
I see Spain continuing its success, especially with it being motivated following a disappointing 2-0 loss to Scotland in its last matchup. While Italy was victorious in its previous showing, that win came against Malta, which isn't exactly a powerh ouse in the sport. Spain will pose a more difficult task considering that Italy hasn't beaten its upcoming foe since 2016.
As competitive as things will be, look for Spain to advance to its second consecutive UEFA Nations League Final.
Final Score Prediction:'Spain: 2 | Italy: 0
Spain vs Italy Betting Trends
– Spain has reached the UEFA Nations League Final once (2021).
– Italy finished in third place at the 2021 UEFA Nations League.
– Spain is 1-1-3 (W-D-L) in its last five matches.
– I taly is 3-0-2 (W-D-L) in its last five matches.
– Spain is 2-2-1 (W-D-L) in its last five matchups against Italy.
Spain vs Italy Best Bet
In what should be an intense game, I'm looking at the Under on the 2.5-goal total as the best bet. For starters, Spain's group-stage matches only saw an average of 2.2 goals scored while Italy's saw exactly 2.5. Furthermore, the two countries have combined for two or fewer goals in 14 of their previous 20 showdowns.
In other words, don't expect any sort of fireworks Thursday afternoon.