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Though they wish the medal up for grabs had a more golden hue, Spain are a win away from securing a bronze medal in their debut women's Olympic soccer tournament.
The world champions will be bitterly disappointed by their mistake-riddled semifinal loss to Brazil, while Germany's inability to find a cutting edge in front of goal ensured their spot in Friday's bronze medal match, which we're looking at with our Spain vs. Germany prediction.
The world-champion Spaniards have only themselves to blame for falling one hurdle short of their ultimate goal. But they have an opportunity to end Germany's 100% record in bronze medal Olympic matches, which would help them forget about their 2-4 semifinal loss to Brazil.
Germany won the bronze medal in three straight Olympics (2000, 2004, 2008) and, despite their recently insipid offensive displays, have been difficult to brea k down, conceding just one extra-time goal in their two knockout matches.
We're focusing on the outcome and most probable goalscorer with these Spain vs. Germany predictions. Spain are the favorites entering Friday's match, occurring at 9 a.m. ET from Lyon, across our best sports betting sites.
Spain vs. Germany predictions for Friday
Spain vs. Germany odds via our best soccer betting sites; soccer picks confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Final score: Spain 2 – Germany 0 (+1000) ???
- Alexia Putellas anytime goalscorer (+187) ???
- Best bet: Spain win & Germany not to score (+260) ???
Spain vs. Germany score prediction
Spain scored two goals in four of their five matches thus far and have an embarrassment of riches in the attacking third. Their nine goals have come from seven different goalscorers and a Brazilian own goal.
Spain's Achilles' heel at the Olympics has been their propensity to make inexplicable errors. However, they have the players capable of keeping a clean sheet, something they've yet to achieve at the Olympics.
I expect a much more solid defensive performance from the defending world champions, who allowed only three goals in seven World Cup matches last year. On the other side of the half stands a team that didn't score in either knockout match and is expected to be without its most formidable scoring threat, Lea Schuller, who missed the semifinal with a knee injury.
The +1000 odds will yield a $100 profit on a winning $10 wager.
Odds: +1000 | Implied probability: 9.09%
Spain vs. Germany anytime goal scorer prediction
Putellas is the only Spaniard who has netted more than once in the tournament. She scored against Nigeria and Brazil in the group stage and bagged eight in 19 La Liga matches last season.
The 30-year-old didn't start against Colombia or Brazil in the last two matches but should get the nod in the bronze medal contest after Spain's recent and well-documented languid first-half displays.
You'll earn an $18.70 profit on a $10 bet if Putellas scores her third of the tournament before extra time.
Odds: +187 | Implied probability: 34.84%
Spain vs. Germany best bet
Germany failed to score against Canada in the quarterfinal and the Americans in the semifinal. And they probably won't have Schuller at their disposal. They have created more Grade A scoring chances than a cat has lives but have lacked ruthlessness in front of goal.
Spain, on the other hand, can score from anywhere on the pitch. They share the goal-scoring load like ants divvy up the work in an underground colony.
Though Germany's defense has been top-notch, there's only so much pressure a rearguard can take before succumbing.
At +260, you'll earn a $26 profit on a $10 wager if it hits.
Odds: +260 | Implied probability: 27.78%
Spain vs. Germany odds & game info
| Spain | Germany | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | -105 | +280 |
| Over/Under | Over 2.5 (-140) | Under 2.5 (+110) |
| Spread | -0.5 (-115) | +0.5 (-120) |
- When: Friday, Aug. 9
- Time: 9 a.m. ET
- Where: Lyon Stadium (Lyon, France)
- How to watch: Peacock
- Favorite: Spain (-105)
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