The South Alabama Jaguars host the Southern Miss Golden Eagles, as we make our best Southern Miss vs. South Alabama prediction based on the best college football odds.
The Southern Miss Golden Eagles have yet to defeat an FBS opponent this season. They've lost five games in a row, three of which were by 14 or more points. Southern Miss lost 17-13 to the Old Dominion Monarchs in Week 6 before its bye week, failing to hold onto a 13-10 lead it took into the fourth quarter.
The South Alabama Jaguars snapped a two-game losing skid with a 55-7 victory over the UL Monroe Warhawks in Week 6. The Jaguars are 3-3, with all three of their victories coming by 18 or more points.
Here is our best Southern Miss vs. South Alabama prediction and our college football picks (odds via our best college football betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Southern Miss vs. South Alabama prediction: Week 8
The Jaguars have scored 30 or more points in four of their six games, and they scored 17 and 23 points in the other two games. South Alabama's defense has struggled at times this season, allowing 30 or more in all three losses, but we don't expect them to have much trouble with the Golden Eagles.
The Golden Eagles are averaging 356 yards per game, and that yardage has translated to 20.4 points per game against FBS opponents. They scored just 13 points last time out, but were explosive in their two prior games, scoring 36 and 37 points.
However, the Jaguars defense looks unstoppable when it faces weak offenses. South Alabama has allowed 17 or fewer points in each of its 3 wins, and as 18-point favorites, it's clear what the final result of this game should be.
The Jaguars offense could clear this number themse lves. They scored 55 points in their win last week. However, we think this game will be a bit slower-paced than usual because the Golden Eagles can't stop the run, and the Jaguars are averaging 157.7 rushing yards per game. With the clock constantly moving, we see the final score being in the mid-40s rather than the 50s.
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Southern Miss vs. South Alabama best odds
| DraftKings | FanDuel | BetMGM | Caesars | bet365 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 53 | Under 53.5 | Under 53.5 | Under 53.5 | Under 53.5 |
| -110 | -115 | -110 | -110 | -110 |
DraftKings is the only sportsbook offering a total of less than 53.5 and it seems like FanDuel may follow suit shortly, as they currently have the under with a price of -115.
As for the other three sportsbooks, you can't go wrong with betting the under at any of them. We'd go with BetMGM because if we were recommending a parlay, we'd go with the Golden Eagles to cover. BetMGM currently has them as 18.5-point underdogs.
Southern Miss vs. South Alabama odds
Southern Miss vs. South Alabama odds analysis
The total opened at 53.5, and that is where it has stayed. Around 60% of wagers back the Over, so it may not be long before this number goes up. However, FanDuel is the only sportsbook with a price other than -110 for either side, and they're slightly favoring the under. This may indicate that oddsmakers ar e ignoring the public and are ready to drop the total a half-point. This has already happened at DraftKings.
The Jaguars opened as 16.5-point favorites, but that's jumped to 18.5 at some of the best sports betting sites, while others have settled on 17.5. We've seen as high as 55% of wagers back the Jaguars, but that isn't an overwhelming amount of support. We believe this spread has moved where it will land, and the Jaguars will go off as somewhere between 17.5 and 18.5-point favorites.
Southern Miss vs. South Alabama game info
- When: Tuesday, Oct., 17 at 7:30 p.m. ET
- Where: Hancock Whitney Stadium, Mobile, AL
- How to watch: ESPN2
- Weather: 48 degrees, 4-mph winds, 1% chance of precipitation
Southern Miss vs. South Alabama prediction made 10/16/2023 at 1:17 p.m. ET.
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