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The last time Team USA faced off against South Sudan, the Americans nearly lost in what would have ranked among the most shocking results in Olympic men's basketball history.
Those two meet again Wednesday at 3 p.m. ET, and our South Sudan vs. USA prediction and expert picks anticipate a much different result this time around.
The U.S. is favored by 29.5 points across our best sports betting sites, which still have the reigning tournament champions favored by the latest Olympic men's basketball odds. We have our eyes on the total and a long-shot bet on the game's leading scorer.
South Sudan vs. USA predictions for Wednesday
South Sudan vs. USA odds via our best sports betting apps; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale.
- Over 190.5 (-110) ????
- Anthony Davis to lead all scorers (+4000) ??
It's tempting to take the points after these teams battled to a 101-100 final score in a U.S. exhibition win. But we saw the Americans turn it on Sunday when the stakes were raised with a 110-84 blowout win over Serbia and NBA MVP odds favorite Nikola Jokic.
Instead, I'm targeting the Over on the strength of a prolific USA attack, which saw Kevin Durant erupt for 23 points off the bench on Sunday. That's a testament to the unreal depth and scoring prowess on display for the Americans, who are averaging 101.2 points over their last five games.
South Sudan has also impressed on that end, scoring 90 points in Sunday's win over Puerto Rico and 100 points in an exhibition match against the USA. It likely won't reach those heights on Wednesday, but I still expect it to be a high-scoring affair.
A winning $10 wager will pay a profit of $9.09.
Odds: -110 | Implied probability: 52.38%
It's hard to predict individual performances in the Olympics. That's why I love leaning into volatility at longer odds, like what we're catching here on Davis.
As we saw in the USA opener, it's impossible to guess who might emerge as the star – or, in Jayson Tatum's case, end up with a DNP.
I've been calling for Davis to overtake Joel Embiid as the Americans' top center, which happened Sunday, and I wouldn't be surprised to see Davis featured on Wednesday given his versatility and two-way prowess.
Davis finished second on the team with 15 points in that exhibition win over South Sudan, and he nearly doubled Embiid's playing time against Serbia. These +4000 odds would pay $400 on a $10 wager if Davis finishes as the top scorer.
Odds: +4000 | Implied probability: 2.44%
South Sudan vs. USA odds & game info
| South Sudan | USA | |
|---|---|---|
| Moneyline | +3000 | -10000 |
| Spread | +29.5 (-110) | -29.5 (-110) |
| Over/Under | Over 190.5 (-110) | Under 190.5 (-110) |
- When: Wednesday, July 31
- Tip-off: 3 p.m. ET
- Where: Stade Pierre-Mauroy (Lille, France)
- How to watch: USA Network, Peacock (streaming)
- Favorite: USA -29.5 (-110)
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