The SMU Mustangs visit Clarence Mackay Stadium to take on the Nevada Wolf Pack on Aug. 24 in Reno, NV.
SMU is a betting favorite in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-115).
The SMU vs. Nevada Over/Under is 55.5 total points.
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SMU vs Nevada Prediction:
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts SMU will win this game with 95.0% confidence.
SMU vs Nevada Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts Nevada will cover the spread with 71.5% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both SMU and Nevada, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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SMU Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- SMU has hit the 1H Moneyline in their last 10 games (+10.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.95 Units / 70% ROI)
- SMU has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 48% ROI)
- SMU have covered the 1Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.20 Units / 38% ROI)
- SMU has hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 4% ROI)
Nevada Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Nevada has hit the 1Q Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.15 Units / 100% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1H Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.05 Units / 95% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the Game Total Over in their last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Nevada has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 3 of their last 9 games (+1.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Nevada have covered the Spread in 6 of their last 10 games (+1.65 Units / 15% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for SMU players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
SMU Against the Spread (ATS) Record
SMU was 8-6 against the spread last college football season (+1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI).
- SMU is 10-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 2.65% ROI
- SMU is 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
- SMU is 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
Nevada Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Nevada is 6-6 against the spread last college football season (-0.55 Units / -4.18% ROI).
- Nevada is 2-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -48.82% ROI
- Nevada is 6-6 when betting the Over for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Nevada is 6-6 when betting the Under for -0.6 Units / -4.55% ROI
SMU is winless (0-3) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .436
SMU is winless (0-1) when in a one score game since the 2022 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .496
SMU is winless (0-2) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .413
SMU was winless (0-3) when rushing more than 30 times in the 2023 season– T-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .463
Nevada was winless (0-3) when their opponent committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .506
Nevada is 1-9 (.100) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2022 season– 3rd-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .410
Nevada was winless (0-5) when losing at least one fumble in the 2023 season– T-worst among Non-Power Conference Teams; Average: .338
Nevada is 1-11 (.083) when intercepting no passes since the 2022 season– T-9th-worst in FBS; Average: .335
Nevada’s offense threw for 1,971 passing yards in 11 games (just 179.2 YPG) last season — 21st-worst among FBS offenses. SMU’s defense allowed just 186.7 passing yards per game last season — 18th-best among FBS defenses.
Nevada gained 1,904 yards on 178 receptions (just 10.7 YPR) last season — T-20th-worst among FBS skill players. SMU’s defense allowed just 10.4 Yards Per Reception last season — T-11th-best among FBS defenses.