The Seattle Seahawks (1-0-0) visit Gillette Stadium to take on the New England Patriots (1-0-0) on Sep. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Foxborough, MA.
The Seahawks are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -3.5 (-105).
The Seahawks vs. Patriots Over/Under is 38 total points for the game.
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Seahawks vs. Patriots Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Seahawks will win this game with 63.0% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Patriots will cover the spread with 67.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Sam Howell has hit the Interceptions Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.40 Units / 50% ROI)
- DK Metcalf has hit the Longest Reception Over in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.70 Units / 55% ROI)
- Jason Myers has hit the Field Goals Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+6.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tyler Lockett has hit the Longest Reception Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+5.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Sam Howell has hit the Carries Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.90 Units / 44% ROI)
Best Patriots Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Patriots players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Rhamondre Stevenson has hit the Longest Reception Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 6 games at home (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Kendrick Bourne has hit the Longest Reception Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- K.J. Osborn has hit the Receptions Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.35 Units / 73% ROI)
Seahawks Best Bets:
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 3Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 11 away games (+6.40 Units / 47% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 11 away games (+5.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have scored last in their last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+3.15 Units / 15% ROI)
Patriots Best Bets:
- The New England Patriots have hit the 4Q Game Total Under in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 4Q Spread in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.00 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+2.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 2Q Spread in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New England Patriots have covered the 2H Spread in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.90 Units / 21% ROI)
Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Seahawks went 0-1 (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- Seahawks are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 35.71% ROI
- Seahawks are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Seahawks are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / ROI
Patriots Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Patriots went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Patriots are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.1 Units / 310% ROI
- Patriots are 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- Patriots are 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the New England Patriots
The Seahawks were 1-4 (.200) when allowing 3 or more sacks last season — 7th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .350.
The Seahawks were 4-2 (.667) vs top 10 pass defenses last season — T-6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .488.
The Seahawks were 4-1 (.800) when averaging more than 5 yards per rush last season — T-5th-best in NFL; League Avg: .604.
The Seahawks were 5-8 (.385) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team last season — 9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .500.
New England Patriots: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks
The Patriots were winless (0-5) when converting less than 55% of its red zone chances into touchdowns last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .465.
The Patriots were winless (0-6) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .326.
The Patriots were winless (0-6) when allowing 5 or more explosive passes last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .430.
The Patriots were 1-9 (.100) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards last season — 2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .414.