In our Seahawks vs. Giants SGP predictions based on the best NFL odds, we plant our flag on the Seattle running game against a pliable New York defense.
The MetLife Stadium prime-time double feature rolls on as the Giants (1-2) host the Seahawks on Monday Night Football.
New York infamously struggled in its first home game of the year, and the sledding could be tough again this week as the Seahawks (2-1) are slowly revealing a two-headed monster in their backfield.
Here are our best Seahawks vs. Giants SGP predictions (odds via our best NFL betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Seahawks vs. Giants parlay for MNF
(Odds via FanDuel)
- Kenneth Walker Over 64.5 rushing yards (-110) ????
- Kenneth Walker anytime touchdown (-125) ????
- Zach Charbonnet Over 25.5 rushing yards (-110) ???
Combined odds: +439 via FanDuel
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SGP predictions for Seahawks vs. Giants
Kenneth Walker has seen an attractive combination of efficiency and opportunity through the first three weeks of this NFL season, registering 47 rushing attempts with a respectable 4.3 yards per carry.
He's cleared this yardage total in two of three games on the campaign. Monday should set up as another chance to do damage against a Giants run defense that has permitted 138.0 rushing yards per game to its opponents so far this year. That's a mark that ranks 27th in the NFL to this point.
Betting Walker's rushing total at FanDuel provides a notable advantage compared to running the same prop at DraftKings. FanDuel has the line at 64.5 yards with -110 odds on the Over while DraftKings needs Walker to clear 66.5 yards and is posted with -115 odds on Over.
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Walker has scored four touchdowns over the past two weeks, finding paydirt twice in each of those contests. Although Geno Smith has plenty of red-zone receiving targets, riding Walker is a great option near the goal line.
He has scored three touchdowns on seven rushing attempts inside the five-yard line so far this season, which isn't necessarily outlandish efficiency, but it's solid. We have no reason to believe Walker will lose any goal-line opportunities to Charbonnet, as he's handled 77.8% of the team's red-zone rushing attempts on the year.
Walker's odds to find the end zone this week are -125 at FanDuel while sitting at -130 at DraftKings.
A rookie out of UCLA, Charbonnet serves as the backup to Walker in the Seattle running back room. Generally, if one running back is projected to get the type of volume necessary to clear his rushing line, it's difficult to expect the backup to draw enough opportunity to do so. But the trends suggest Charbonnet is worth a look.
Charbonnet has seen his rushing attempts increase from three to four to nine over his three NFL games. He managed 46 rushing yards on his nine carries last week while seeing the field for a season-high 46% of snaps. Seattle looks to be ready to consistently integrate the rookie into the game plan alongside Walker.
Charbonnet needs to clear 25.5 yards to hit the prop at FanDuel with -110 odds attached. DraftKings is more favorable on this prop, with Charbonnet needing only to clear 24.5 yards attached to +100 odds on Over. But FanDuel's overall parlay odds provide an edge, at +439 to +410. FanDuel also has the more favorable line on Walker's yardage, so we're playing the parlay there.
Seahawks-Giants SGP picks made 10/02/2023 at 2:00 p.m. ET.
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