The Seattle Seahawks (7-7) visit GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium to take on the Kansas City Chiefs (11-3) on Dec. 24. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EST in Kansas City.
The Chiefs are betting favorites in Week 16, with the spread sitting at -9.5 (-110).
The Seahawks vs. Chiefs Over/Under is 48.5 total points for the game.
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Seahawks vs. Chiefs Prediction for Week 16
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts the Chiefs will win this Week 16 game with 86.0% confidence.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Chiefs will cover the spread this Week 16 with 55.0% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both the Seahawks and Chiefs, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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Best Seahawks Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Seahawks players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Geno Smith has hit the TD Passes Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+8.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- Geno Smith has hit the Rushing Yards Over in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.90 Units / 58% ROI)
- Rashaad Penny has hit the Receiving Yards Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Geno Smith has hit the Completions Over in 10 of his last 14 games (+5.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Geno Smith has hit the Pass Attempts Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+4.90 Units / 64% ROI)
Best Chiefs Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Chiefs players for Week 16, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Melvin Gordon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.60 Units / 50% ROI)
- Noah Gray has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 88% ROI)
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Receptions Over in 6 of his last 7 games at home (+6.80 Units / 90% ROI)
- Isiah Pacheco has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- Jerick McKinnon has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
Seahawks Best Bets for Week 16:
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 1H Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+8.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2H Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.35 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.70 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Seattle Seahawks have hit the 4Q Moneyline in 7 of their last 10 games (+6.20 Units / 51% ROI)
Chiefs Best Bets for Week 16:
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 3Q Game Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+8.50 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+7.35 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Team Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the 1Q Game Total Under in their last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 85% ROI)
- The Kansas City Chiefs have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 11 games (+6.65 Units / 14% ROI)
Seahawks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Seahawks have gone 6-8 (-2.7 Units / -17.53% ROI).
- Seahawks are 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 5.6% ROI
- Seahawks are 8-6 when betting the Over for +1.35 Units / 8.74% ROI
- Seahawks are 6-8 when betting the Under for -2.8 Units / ROI
Chiefs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Chiefs have gone 5-9 (-5 Units / -32.26% ROI).
- Chiefs are 11-3 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.35 Units / 11.61% ROI
- Chiefs are 7-7 when betting the Over for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
- Chiefs are 7-7 when betting the Under for -0.7 Units / -4.55% ROI
Seattle Seahawks: Keys to the Game vs. the Kansas City Chiefs
The Seahawks are 1-5 (.167) when not forcing a fumble this season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .432.
The Seahawks are 4-1 (.800) when allowing less than 3 explosive runs this season — tied for 7th-best in NFL; League Avg: .568.
The Seahawks are 4-2 (.667) on the road this season — tied for 4th-best in NFL; League Avg: .440.
The Seahawks are 3-10 (.231) when within 7 points at the two minute warning since the 2021 season — 3rd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .493.
Kansas City Chiefs: Keys to the Game vs. the Seattle Seahawks
The Chiefs are 5-2 (.714) when rushing less than 25 times this season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .318.
The Chiefs are 15-2 (.882) when intercepting at least 1 pass since the 2021 season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .624.