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Today’s Best Bets
Here are today’s best NBA bets.
NBA Same Game Parlay Picks
Boston Celtics vs. Philadelphia 76ers
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- Leg 1: Tobias Harris Under 13.5 Points (-113)
- Leg 2: Jaylen Brown Over 2.5 Assists (-136)
- Leg 3: Joel Embiid Over 3.5 Assists (-136)'
- Leg 1: Tobias Harris Under 13.5 Points (-113)
This isn’t the most exciting parlay. But as long as it profits, that’s all that will matter.
Tobias Harris has fallen off. He’s averaging 15.4 points per game but earned only 11.2 points per game in February. Against Memphis on Thursday, Harris tallied 20 points. But he did it with just ten shot attempts and foul shots.
Harris has earned just one foul shot per game in February. He won’t get to the foul line consistently and doesn’t take enough volume to get to 14 points.
Meanwhile, Joel Embiid earned six assists to start the second half against the Grizzlies. He’s now earned at least four assists in three straight games and in six of his last ten games.
Jaylen Brown has earned at least three assists in his last five games. He’s also hit three assists in eight of his last ten games and has reached this milestone in 63% of games this season. The 76ers are one of the better defenses in the NBA, but all the stars will perform offensively at a high level in this rivalry matchup. That includes Brown.
Parlay Odds: +466
- Jason Radowitz
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NBA Game Picks
Denver Nuggets vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Sometimes you stare at a number and know that it’s off. This total is way too high. Memphis is 7-3 to the Under over their last ten games played, and the data tells the story why: over these same ten games, the Grizzlies have been a pedestrian team, ranking 14th in overall Net Rating, and a stunning 24th offensively. For context, the Grizz are the no. 17 rated offense on the season, and such a decline is why they’ve been such a good under bet of late.
Further, don’t expect their offensive woes to be remedied vs. this Denver team. The Nuggets had a rough start to the season defensively, but have been one of the leagues better units since the new year, and rate 9th defensively over the last ten. Additionally, and empirically, the Memphis offense struggles in these two teams’ lone meeting this season. There were no injuries worth noting in this previous matchup, and the total steamed under 235.
Lastly, neither team trends over on the year. And, for those who love trends (we all do), the Grizzlies are 7-2 to the under at home when the number is set at 234 and above.
Bet: Under 234 (-110)
- Tommy Jurgens
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First Basket Scorer
Toronto Raptors vs. Detroit Pistons
The Raptors head south of the border to take on the Pistons in Detroit. Again, like I've done many times this season, I will be fading the Pistons when it comes to First Basket. The numbers continue to back this. Detroit is scoring first field goals at below a 40% rate and winning opening tips at an even lower rate. Meanwhile, Toronto is one of the better teams in the league, hovering around 60% for first field goal makes.
With a good chance to score the First Basket in this game, I like to target two different Raptors to improve my edge. The first pick is OG Anunoby. He has only started in 46 games and scored the Raptors’ first field goal in eight of them, but the matchup with Detroit is enticing. The Pistons don't really have the defenders to lock down athletic guards, especially ones with OG's size. This is indicated in their season stats of giving up 27% of opponents' first field goals to shooting guards.