San Francisco vs. Gonzaga Prediction, Preview, and Odds – 3-6-2023

The San Francisco Dons will play the Gonzaga Bulldogs on Monday in the semifinals of the West Coast Conference Tournament. Tip-off from Orleans Arena in Las Vegas is at 8:30 p.m. PT. The Zags are 12.5-point spread favorites and the game total is 160 points.

USF (20-13 SU, 16-16 ATS) defeated Santa Clara in the WCC tourney quarterfinals. The Dons are 4-1 straight-up in their last five games.

Gonzaga (26-5 SU, 12-17-1 ATS) defeated Chicago State in its regular-season finale. The Bulldogs are 5-0 straight-up in their last five games.

The Zags beat the Dons twice this season: 77-75 on January 5 and 99-81 on February 9. Gonzaga leads the all-time series 70-22.

San Francisco beat Santa Clara 93-87 in overtime in the WCC quarterfinals. The Dons were hot from long range, shooting 14-for-27 from beyond the arc (51.9%). They also got to the charity stripe often, shooting 27-for-35 at the free-throw line (77.1%). USF outrebounded Santa Clara 50-33 with 13 offensive rebounds, overcoming 18 turnovers.

Khalil Shabazz paces San Francisco in scoring. The senior guard averaged 17.2 points and 5.5 rebounds in the regular season with a 40.9 FG%. Other players to watch when the Dons take the floor are senior guard Tyrell Roberts (15.9 PPG, 39.5 3PT%), junior forward Zane Meeks (10.9 PPG and 5.1 RPG), and junior guard Marcus Williams (7.2 PPG).

USF averaged 75.6 points per game (90th) and shot 44.9 percent from the field (176th) with a 35.4 three-point shooting percentage (121st) this season. The Dons converted 74.9 percent of their free throws (54th) and averaged 31.6 rebounds (190th) with a +1.5 rebounding margin. They ranked 89th in schedule-adjusted offensive efficiency and 43rd in effective field goal percentage (53.6%).

USF surrendered 73.0 points per game on defense (266th), and its opponents shot 44.0 percent from the floor (206th) with a 34.2 three-point shooting percentage (212th). The Dons ranked 147th in adjusted defensive efficiency, 265th in assist-per-turnover ratio, and 103rd in adjusted tempo.

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