The San Diego State Aztecs visit Reser Stadium to take on the Oregon State Beavers on Sep. 16. Kickoff is scheduled for 3:30pm EDT in Corvallis.
Oregon State is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -24.5 (-110).
The San Diego State vs. Oregon State Over/Under is 48.5 total points.
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San Diego State vs Oregon State Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent trends, the winning team model predicts Oregon State will win this game with 94.9% confidence.
San Diego State vs Oregon State Spread Prediction for Week 3
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts San Diego State will cover the spread with 62.1% confidence.
Both predictions factor in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego State and Oregon State, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
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San Diego State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Diego State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.70 Units / 35% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 away games (+4.35 Units / 62% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1H Spread in their last 4 away games (+4.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Oregon State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- Oregon State have covered the Spread in 10 of their last 12 games (+7.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 7 games (+7.17 Units / 45% ROI)
- Oregon State have covered the 1Q Spread in their last 7 games (+7.05 Units / 86% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 8 games (+5.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Oregon State has hit the 1H Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.05 Units / 21% ROI)
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego State is 1-2 against the spread this college football season (-1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI).
- San Diego State is 1-1 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- San Diego State is 1-2 when betting the Over for -1.2 Units / -36.36% ROI
- San Diego State is 2-1 when betting the Under for +0.9 Units / 27.27% ROI
Oregon State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Oregon State is 2-0 against the spread this college football season (+2 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Oregon State is 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 17.24% ROI
- Oregon State is 2-0 when betting the Over for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Oregon State is 0-2 when betting the Under for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
San Diego State is 12-1 (.857) when not throwing an interception since the 2021 season– tied for 10th-best in FBS; Average: .586
San Diego State is 15-3 (.714) when converting 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2021 season– tied for 14th-best in FBS; Average: .512
San Diego State is 11-2 (.786) when not losing a fumble since the 2021 season– tied for 7th-best in FBS; Average: .504
San Diego State is 18-3 (.857) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2021 season– 4th-best in FBS; Average: .562
#18 Oregon State is undefeated (5-0) when forcing at least one fumble since the 2021 season– tied for best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .570
#18 Oregon State was 5-2 (.714) when they have committed less than 60 yards in penalties in the 2022 season– tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .375
#18 Oregon State is 5-2 (.714) when committing less than 60 yards in penalties since the 2022 season– tied for 4th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .359
#18 Oregon State is 7-1 (.875) when allowing less than 50% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season– tied for 7th-best among Power 5 Teams; Average: .554
Oregon State’s WRs have just 176.5 receiving yards per game this season — fourth-worst among Pac-12 WRs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed 294.3 receiving yards per game this season — 20th-worst among FBS defenses.
Oregon State’s TEs has been targeted 12 times this season — tied for fourth-most among Pac-12 TEs. San Diego State’s defense has allowed 883 receiving yards this season — most among FBS defenses.