The San Diego State Aztecs (1-1) visit California Memorial Stadium to take on the California Golden Bears (2-0) on Sep. 14 in Berkeley, CA. Kickoff is scheduled for 10:30pm EDT.
California is a betting favorite in Week 3, with the spread sitting at -18.5 (-110).
The San Diego State vs. California Over/Under is 47.5 total points.
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San Diego State vs California Prediction:
The winning team model predicts California will win this game with 89.4% confidence, based on game simulations, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
This winning team prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both San Diego State and California, key player performances this season and recent team trends.
San Diego State vs California Spread Prediction:
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts California will cover the spread with 65.5% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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San Diego State Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- San Diego State has hit the 1Q Game Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+9.00 Units / 73% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the Spread in their last 3 away games (+3.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- San Diego State have covered the 1Q Spread in 4 of their last 5 away games (+2.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- San Diego State has hit the 1Q Moneyline in 2 of their last 3 away games (+2.60 Units / 71% ROI)
California Best Bets & Trends for ATS, Moneyline & Totals
- California has hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 13 games (+5.55 Units / 15% ROI)
- California has hit the 1Q Moneyline in their last 4 games (+4.80 Units / 94% ROI)
- California have covered the 1Q Spread in 8 of their last 12 games (+3.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- California has hit the 1H Game Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+2.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- California has hit the Game Total Under in 7 of their last 13 games (+0.40 Units / 3% ROI)
We’ve highlighted some favorite college football player prop bets for San Diego State players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best San Diego State Player Prop Bets Today
- Kenan Christon has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last game (+1.00 Units / 83% ROI)
Top NCAAF player prop bets for California players, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best California Player Prop Best Bets Today
- Jaydn Ott has hit the Rushing Yards Over in his last 4 games at home (+4.00 Units / 84% ROI)
- Trond Grizzell has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last 3 games (+3.00 Units / 83% ROI)
- Fernando Mendoza has hit the TD Passes Over in his last 2 games at home (+2.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Fernando Mendoza has hit the Passing Yards Under in 3 of his last 4 games (+1.80 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jaydn Ott has hit the Receiving Yards Over in his last game (+1.00 Units / 87% ROI)
San Diego State Against the Spread (ATS) Record
San Diego State is 0-1 against the spread this college football season (-1.1 Units / -100% ROI).
- San Diego State is 0-1 when betting on the Moneyline for -1 Units / -100% ROI
- San Diego State is 0-1 when betting the Over for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
- San Diego State is 1-0 when betting the Under for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
California Against the Spread (ATS) Record
California is 1-1 against the spread this college football season (-0.1 Units / -4.65% ROI).
- California is 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.75 Units / 30.35% ROI
- California is 0-2 when betting the Over for -2.2 Units / -100% ROI
- California is 2-0 when betting the Under for +2 Units / 90.91% ROI
San Diego State is 1-8 (.111) when having a turnover margin within one of the opposing team since the 2023 season– T-8th-worst in FBS; Average: .496
San Diego State is 2-8 (.200) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .425
San Diego State is 1-8 (.111) when the opposing team converts 55% or more of its red zone chances into touchdowns since the 2023 season– T-13th-worst in FBS; Average: .398
San Diego State is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 7 or more explosive plays since the 2023 season– T-17th-worst in FBS; Average: .389
California is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-10th-worst among Power Conference Teams; Average: .374
California is 1-7 (.125) when allowing 120 or more rushing yards since the 2023 season– T-25th-worst in FBS; Average: .358
California is 1-9 (.091) when losing at least one fumble since the 2022 season– 11th-worst in FBS; Average: .393
California is 3-8 (.273) when allowing 10 or more rushes of four or more yards since the 2023 season– T-32nd-worst in FBS; Average: .448