The New Orleans Saints (4-9) visit SoFi Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Rams (8-5) on Dec. 21. Kickoff is scheduled for 8:15pm EST in Inglewood, CA.
The Rams are betting favorites in this Week 16 matchup, with the spread sitting at -4 (-110).
The Saints vs. Rams Over/Under is 44.5 total points for the game.
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Saints vs. Rams Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Rams will win this Week 16 game with 66.8% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Rams will cover the spread with 54.7% confidence.
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Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players this Week 16 game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+6.80 Units / 60% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in 8 of his last 13 games (+4.90 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Longest Reception Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+4.70 Units / 52% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Longest Reception Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+4.55 Units / 44% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Rams Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Rams players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Passing Yards Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ben Skowronek has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 games at home (+3.90 Units / 57% ROI)
- Cooper Kupp has hit the Longest Reception Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+3.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- Matthew Stafford has hit the TD Passes Under in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+3.15 Units / 57% ROI)
- Matthew Stafford has hit the Completions Over in 4 of his last 5 games at home (+3.15 Units / 54% ROI)
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Rams vs Saints
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Puka Nacua | 61.5 -120 | 61.5 -115 |
| Cooper Kupp | 69.5 -110 | 69.5 -120 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Rams vs Saints
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 49.5 -120 | 49.5 -110 |
| Matthew Stafford | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -130 |
| Kyren Williams | 88.5 -115 | 88.5 -120 |
Saints Best Bets:
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 3Q Spread in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.35 Units / 48% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2H Spread in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.90 Units / 26% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 17 games (+3.90 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 17 games (+2.70 Units / 14% ROI)
Rams Best Bets:
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+2.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 3Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.75 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+1.70 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 6 of their last 10 games at home (+1.65 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Rams have covered the 2Q Spread in 5 of their last 8 games at home (+1.60 Units / 18% ROI)
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Saints went 4-9 (-5.75 Units / -37.58% ROI).
- Saints are 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -11.8% ROI
- Saints are 4-10 when betting the Over for -7.05 Units / -45.63% ROI
- Saints are 10-4 when betting the Under for +5.6 Units / ROI
Rams Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL season, the Rams went 7-5 (+1.5 Units / 9.74% ROI).
- Rams are 7-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.1 Units / 0.47% ROI
- Rams are 6-8 when betting the Over for -2.8 Units / -18.18% ROI
- Rams are 8-6 when betting the Under for +1.4 Units / 9.09% ROI
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Los Angeles Rams
The Saints are 4-1 (.800) when not throwing an interception this season — T-9th-best in NFL; League Avg: .657.
The Saints are 2-2 (.500) vs top 10 run offenses this season — T-8th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .400.
The Saints are undefeated (6-0) vs bottom 10 pass offenses this season — T-best in NFL; League Avg: .636.
The Saints are winless (0-5) when converting less than 30% of third down conversion opportunities since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .310.
Los Angeles Rams: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Rams are winless (0-6) when playing in cold weather since the 2022 season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .497.
The Rams are winless (0-6) vs top 10 run defenses since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .447.
The Rams are winless (0-12) vs top 10 offenses since the 2022 season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .321.
The Rams are 3-16 (.158) when scoring less than 22 points since the 2022 season — T-2nd-worst in NFL; League Avg: .265.