The New Orleans Saints (0-0) visit Mercedes-Benz Stadium to take on the Atlanta Falcons (0-0) on Sep. 11. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm ET in Atlanta.
The Saints are betting favorites in Week 1, with the spread sitting at -5.5 (-110).
The Saints vs. Falcons Over/Under is 43 total points for the game.
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Saints vs. Falcons Prediction for Week 1
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Saints will win this Week 1 NFL matchup with 52.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in up-to-date player injuries for both the Saints and Falcons, plus offensive & defensive matchups, recent games and key player performances this season.
Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Marquez Callaway has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Carries Under in his last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 76% ROI)
- Tony Jones has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 82% ROI)
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 13 games (+3.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- Adam Trautman has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+3.85 Units / 56% ROI)
Best Falcons Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Falcons players for Week 1, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receptions Under in his last 8 games (+8.20 Units / 77% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Receiving Yards Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+6.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- Kyle Pitts has hit the Receptions Under in 7 of his last 10 games (+4.05 Units / 34% ROI)
- Cordarrelle Patterson has hit the Rushing Yards Under in his last 4 games (+4.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Calvin Ridley has hit the Receptions Over in 3 of his last 4 games (+2.20 Units / 51% ROI)
First Touchdown Scorer Bet for Falcons vs Saints
| Player Name | 1st TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | +500 |
| Michael Thomas | +750 |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | +900 |
| Kyle Pitts | +1100 |
| Jarvis Landry | +1100 |
Anytime Touchdown Scorer Bet for Falcons vs Saints
| Player Name | Anytime TD Odds |
|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | -140 |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | +110 |
| Michael Thomas | +120 |
| Kyle Pitts | +145 |
| Jarvis Landry | +200 |
Receiving Props: Total Receiving Yards for Falcons vs Saints
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Alvin Kamara | 29.5 -115 | 29.5 -110 |
| Kyle Pitts | 59.5 -115 | 59.5 -115 |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 22.5 -115 | 22.5 -110 |
Rushing Props: Total Rushing Yards for Falcons vs Saints
| Player Name | Over | Under |
|---|---|---|
| Jameis Winston | 15.5 -115 | 15.5 -115 |
| Alvin Kamara | 59.5 -115 | 59.5 -110 |
| Marcus Mariota | 24.5 -115 | 24.5 -115 |
| Cordarrelle Patterson | 28.5 -120 | 28.5 -110 |
Saints Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 1H Game Total Under in 13 of their last 17 games (+9.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+7.75 Units / 64% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 6 of their last 8 away games (+7.65 Units / 75% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 4Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.65 Units / 41% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 4Q Spread in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.80 Units / 46% ROI)
Falcons Betting Trends: ATS, Moneyline, Over/Under
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+9.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 1H Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have covered the 2Q Spread in 11 of their last 15 games (+7.30 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 3Q Game Total Under in their last 6 games at home (+6.05 Units / 95% ROI)
- The Atlanta Falcons have hit the 2H Game Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.85 Units / 49% ROI)
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Atlanta Falcons
The Saints were undefeated (7-0) when not committing any turnovers last season — tied for best in NFL; League Avg: .731.
The Saints were 2-7-1 (.200) when committing 1 or more turnovers last season — 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .393.
The Saints were 1-5-1 (.143) when throwing at least 1 interception last season — 5th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .356.
The Saints were 5-1-1 (.714) when averaging more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — tied for 6th-best in NFL; League Avg: .545.
Atlanta Falcons: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Falcons were 1-2 (.333) when rushing less than 20 times last season — tied for 3rd-best in NFL; League Avg: .121.
The Falcons were winless (0-2) when sacking the QB 3 or more times last season — worst in NFL; League Avg: .638.