The New Orleans Saints (1-0-0) visit AT&T Stadium to take on the Dallas Cowboys (1-0-0) on Sep. 15. Kickoff is scheduled for 1:00pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
The Cowboys are betting favorites in this matchup, with the spread sitting at -6.5 (-110).
The Saints vs. Cowboys Over/Under is 45.5 total points for the game.
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Saints vs. Cowboys Prediction
The winning team model predicts the Cowboys will win this game with 67.3% confidence, based on game simulations, player injuries, offensive & defensive matchups and recent game results.
Based on recent against-the-spread trends, the model predicts the Cowboys will cover the spread with 68.1% confidence.
This prediction against the spread factors in ATS performances for both teams, opening and current betting lines plus public and sharp money already wagered on this matchup.
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Best Saints Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite NFL player prop bets for Saints players this playoff game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Chris Olave has hit the Receptions Over in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Cedrick Wilson has hit the Receptions Under in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.05 Units / 49% ROI)
- Foster Moreau has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 40% ROI)
- Alvin Kamara has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+3.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- Juwan Johnson has hit the Receptions Over in his last 3 away games (+3.55 Units / 88% ROI)
Best Cowboys Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some top NFL player prop bets for Cowboys players for this matchup, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Dak Prescott has hit the Passing Yards Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+5.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receptions Over in his last 5 games at home (+5.65 Units / 101% ROI)
- Dak Prescott has hit the Longest Rush Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Longest Rush Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+5.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ezekiel Elliott has hit the Receiving Yards Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+5.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Saints Best Bets:
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 2H Moneyline in 10 of their last 13 games (+8.25 Units / 44% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have hit the 3Q Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 2H Spread in 9 of their last 11 games (+7.00 Units / 59% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have scored last in 10 of their last 13 games (+6.65 Units / 42% ROI)
- The New Orleans Saints have covered the 3Q Spread in 12 of their last 18 games (+6.40 Units / 31% ROI)
Cowboys Best Bets:
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 1Q Spread in 15 of their last 21 games (+9.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 2Q Game Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.60 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1H Game Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.10 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have hit the 1Q Moneyline in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.10 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Dallas Cowboys have covered the 4Q Spread in 13 of their last 18 games (+6.95 Units / 31% ROI)
Saints Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Saints went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Saints are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1 Units / 52.63% ROI
- Saints are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Saints are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / ROI
Cowboys Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this NFL preseason, the Cowboys went 1-0 (+1 Units / 90.91% ROI).
- Cowboys are 1-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.05 Units / 105% ROI
- Cowboys are 1-0 when betting the Over for +1 Units / 90.91% ROI
- Cowboys are 0-1 when betting the Under for -1.1 Units / -100% ROI
New Orleans Saints: Keys to the Game vs. the Dallas Cowboys
The Saints were 4-1 (.800) vs top 10 defenses last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .476.
The Saints were 4-8 (.333) when allowing an average of more than 5 yards on first down plays last season — T-9th-worst in NFL; League Avg: .422.
The Saints were 3-2 (.600) when playing in cold weather last season — T-8th-best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Saints were winless (0-7) when trailing at the end of the third quarter last season — T-worst in NFL; League Avg: .148.
Dallas Cowboys: Keys to the Game vs. the New Orleans Saints
The Cowboys were 6-1 (.857) when allowing less than 3 sacks last season — 4th-best in NFL. The Saints averaged just 2.0 sacks per game over that time span — T-4th-worst in NFL.
The Cowboys are 11-1 (.917) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter since the 2022 season — best in NFL; League Avg: .498.
The Cowboys were undefeated (4-0) when within 7 points entering the 4th quarter last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .500.
The Cowboys were 12-1 (.923) when forcing 1 or more turnovers last season — best in NFL; League Avg: .592.
Additional Matchup Notes for New Orleans Saints vs. Dallas Cowboys
The Cowboys ran successful plays on 42.6% of pass attempts when their QB was under pressure last season — best in NFL. The Saints had pressured opposing QBs on just 20.3% of passing plays last season — 5th-worst in NFL.