Royals vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 11
Royals vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep. 11

The Kansas City Royals (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on Wednesday, September 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Royals are 80-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 76-69 ATS.

Royals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 11-9, 3.34 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Luis Gil 13-6, 3.24 ERA

Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Paul DeJong has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 12 away games (+22.00 Units / 183% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 31 of his last 41 games (+15.60 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.45 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Kyle Isbel has hit the Total Bases Under in 25 of his last 45 games (+9.50 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.85 Units / 39% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 38 of his last 50 games (+23.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 47 games (+22.85 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+13.85 Units / 60% ROI)
  • Jazz Chisholm has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 45 games (+13.60 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 13 games at home (+13.25 Units / 70% ROI)

  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 142 games (+9.39 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 away games (+8.25 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 18 of their last 29 away games (+6.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 8 of their last 11 games (+5.75 Units / 47% ROI)

  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 56 of their last 88 games (+22.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 61 of their last 111 games (+13.75 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 33 games (+8.30 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 31 games (+7.90 Units / 22% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 81-65 against the Run Line (+5.79 Units / 2.94% ROI).

  • 80-66 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.35 Units / 5.65% ROI
  • 65-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.05 Units / -10.75% ROI
  • 75-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 1.77% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 76-69 against the Run Line (+10.05 Units / 5.71% ROI).

  • 83-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.8 Units / -6.42% ROI
  • 79-62 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.3 Units / 6.43% ROI
  • 62-79 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.65 Units / -15.49% ROI

Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +270 0.5 -350
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +333 0.5 -450
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +425 0.5 -650
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650

Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Tommy Pham (KC) 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Freddy Fermin (KC) 0.5 -165 0.5 +130
Maikel Garcia (KC) 0.5 -160 0.5 +120

Yankees vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +175 0.5 -225
MJ Melendez (KC) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luis Gil (NYY) 5.5 -155 5.5 +120
Cole Ragans (KC) 6.5 -135 6.5 +105

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .556 (15 GB hits out of 27 GBs) against Cole Ragans with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .242 — 0 Percentile.

Cole Ragans has thrown inside pitches 41% of the time (285/690) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 28% — 96th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed an OPS of just .523 (261 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .674 — 95th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .176 (42-for-239) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 96th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Luis Gil had a first-pitch strike rate of just 29% (6/21) in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .131 (23-for-175) against Luis Gil versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.

Luis Gil has walked 68 of 545 batters (12%) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.

Luis Gil has a first-pitch strike rate of just 29% (6/21) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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