Royals vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct. 7
Royals vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct. 7

The Kansas City Royals (+125) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-150) on Monday, October 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:38pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Royals are 88-77 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 84-79 ATS.

Royals vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Royals starting pitcher: Cole Ragans 12-9, 3.06 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Carlos Rodon 16-9, 3.88 ERA

Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Monday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 49 games (+24.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 39 games (+14.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+13.75 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 31 of his last 42 games (+13.60 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Adam Frazier has hit the Home Runs Over in 1 of his last 4 away games (+13.00 Units / 325% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 29 of his last 36 games (+19.75 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 16 games (+16.80 Units / 105% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 36 games (+16.55 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+15.40 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jose Trevino has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 16 games at home (+15.05 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games (+14.25 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 42 away games (+12.40 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 91 of their last 161 games (+12.00 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 64 of their last 106 games (+21.65 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 69 of their last 129 games (+13.00 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games (+7.20 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 25 games at home (+5.55 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+3.10 Units / 11% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 92-73 against the Run Line (+8.4 Units / 3.79% ROI).

  • 88-77 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.35 Units / 2.08% ROI
  • 70-90 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.55 Units / -15.81% ROI
  • 90-70 when betting on the total runs Under for +12.35 Units / 6.76% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 84-79 against the Run Line (+9.35 Units / 4.79% ROI).

  • 95-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.7 Units / -4.51% ROI
  • 87-70 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.5 Units / 5.27% ROI
  • 70-87 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.4 Units / -14.21% ROI

Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Aaron Judge (NYY)
0.5 +240 0.5 -300

Giancarlo Stanton (NYY)
0.5 +300 0.5 -400

Salvador Perez (KC)
0.5 +340 0.5 -450

Bobby Witt Jr. (KC)
0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Juan Soto (NYY)
0.5 +425 0.5 -600

Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Salvador Perez (KC)
0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Tommy Pham (KC)
0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Juan Soto (NYY)
0.5 -200 0.5 +155

Freddy Fermin (KC)
0.5 -190 0.5 +140

Vinnie Pasquantino (KC)
0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Yankees vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Aaron Judge (NYY)
0.5 +140 0.5 -190

Salvador Perez (KC)
0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Giancarlo Stanton (NYY)
0.5 +150 0.5 -200

Bobby Witt Jr. (KC)
0.5 +160 0.5 -225

Austin Wells (NYY)
0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under

Carlos Rodon (NYY)
4.5 -160 4.5 +125

Cole Ragans (KC)
5.5 -135 5.5 +105

Cole Ragans allowed a batting average of just .100 vs right-handed batters (third best)– 96th Percentile and .292 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (ninth worst among qualified SPs)– 16th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of 34% (433/1,255) against Cole Ragans this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 98th Percentile.

Cole Ragans has allowed a slugging percentage of just .281 (74 Total Bases / 263 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 96th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .179 (47-for-263) against Cole Ragans when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 96th Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (165/474) against Carlos Rodon this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — sixth Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has thrown inside pitches 38% of the time (382/1,009) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 29% — 96th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has allowed a slugging percentage of .442 (117 Total Bases / 265 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 16th Percentile.

Carlos Rodon has located his sliders inside 42% of the time (342/806) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
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