The Kansas City Royals (+230) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-300) on Saturday, July 30, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Bronx.

The Yankees are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -2.5 (+100).

The Royals vs Yankees Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Royals are 39-61 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 49-52 ATS.

Royals vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Royals vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Saturday‘s matchup with 56.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Royals and Yankees and up-to-date player injuries.

Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Yankees vs Royals and all MLB games with BetMGM

Best Royals Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 34 games (+15.70 Units / 30% ROI)
• Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.45 Units / 31% ROI)
• Whit Merrifield has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 32 away games (+12.30 Units / 35% ROI)
• Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 53 games (+11.90 Units / 18% ROI)
• Whit Merrifield has hit the Hits Under in 24 of his last 38 away games (+8.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

• Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 52 games at home (+13.45 Units / 17% ROI)
• Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
• Aaron Hicks has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+10.10 Units / 57% ROI)
• Aaron Hicks has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 17 games at home (+10.10 Units / 57% ROI)
• DJ LeMahieu has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.90 Units / 57% ROI)

Yankees vs Royals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Royals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Royals RBI Prop Bets Today

Yankees vs Royals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Positive Betting Trends for the Royals Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 22 away games (+16.60 Units / 70% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+8.10 Units / 25% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games (+7.70 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 15 away games (+6.35 Units / 42% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.50 Units / 40% ROI)

Positive Betting Trends for the Yankees: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals

• The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 45 games at home (+17.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+9.55 Units / 44% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 27 of their last 47 games (+5.10 Units / 10% ROI)
• The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+1.05 Units / 18% ROI)

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 45-55 against the Run Line (-19.25 Units / -14.64% ROI).

• 39-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.95 Units / -14.78% ROI
• 47-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.9 Units / -6.28% ROI
• 49-47 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -2.58% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 49-52 against the Run Line (-4.95 Units / -4.17% ROI).

• 68-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.65 Units / 7.24% ROI
• 49-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.05 Units / -4.53% ROI
• 49-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -4.27% ROI

Jonathan Heasley: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jon Heasley has allowed a slugging percentage of .614 (27 Total Bases / 44 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .374 — third Percentile.

Opponents have a chase percentage of just 21% (27/130) against Jon Heasley with runners in scoring position this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 31% — fifth Percentile.

Jon Heasley has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 57% (98/173) of opposing batters this season — 13th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 64% — eighth Percentile.

Jon Heasley has a strike rate of just 60% (564/936) this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.

Nestor Cortes: Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 60% of the time (243/404) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

17 of Nestor Cortes’ 49 breaking pitch strikeouts (35%) have been backdoor this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 12% — 97th Percentile.

17 of Nestor Cortes’ breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 2nd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 98th Percentile.

Nestor Cortes has thrown his slider 54% of the time (329/605) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 130 total SL; League Avg: 19% — 100th Percentile.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

  
Read Full Article >